Liverpool face Barnsley in a David-vs-Goliath FA Cup game looking to maintain momentum despite the absence of Mohamed Salah, still on international duty. As Arne Slot still has a number of high-profile players to choose from, we predict a 3-0 home win. The Reds can rely on Hugo Ekitike, expected to start, while their overall form has been strong, posting 1.90 PPG and an impressive 60% win rate away from home. At Anfield, Liverpool’s scoring stats remain solid, averaging 1.20 goals per home match with 2.19 expected goals, while defensively they are consistent, conceding just 1.20 per game and keeping 40% clean sheets. Their matches often see goals at both ends, reflected in a 60% BTTS rate.
The Tykes, on the other hand, head into Monday's clash with midfielder Luca Connell suspended, following a red card in their recent League One draw with Wigan. Barnsley's away form is concerning—0.83 PPG, scoring only 0.67 goals per match while conceding 2.17. Their expected goals numbers also highlight the challenge (1.39 expected goals away), indicating a struggle to create quality chances against a top-tier defense.
As Liverpool have slim chances of defending their Premier League title, we predict that they will take Monday's game seriously. Therefore, Home Win, Liverpool to Win to Nil and Over 2.5 goals bets are worth considering.
This FA Cup match will be played on Monday 12 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Liverpool vs Barnsley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Liverpool 3 - 0 Barnsley
Liverpool vs Barnsley Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ -275 Odds
- To be booked: Jack Shepherd @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLiverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddd | 2.00 |
| Home | dwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | dwwdd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.98 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 1.09 | 1.14 |
Barnsley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllld | 1.10 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | lwlld | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.25 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 0.98 | 1.60 |
Liverpool vs Barnsley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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