MK Dons vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips | 09/01/2026

MK Dons vs Oxford United Prediction and Betting Tips | 9 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

7 January 2026 • 08:44 UTC • 1 min read

MK Dons vs Oxford United Prediction and Betting Tips 9 January 2026

MK Dons enter this FA Cup tie in solid form, having suffered just one defeat across their last five matches. Given Oxford United's poor form, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Dons have been especially reliable at Stadium MK, averaging 2.33 points per game and scoring 1.67 goals per home outing, while conceding only 0.67. Their expected goals and xGA at home (1.38 vs 1.18) underline a balanced, controlled approach, and with no fresh injury concerns after a 2-2 draw with Chesterfield, Paul Warne’s side should be well-prepared.

Oxford United, meanwhile, continue to struggle for consistency. They have lost four of their last five games in the Championship and remain unconvincing away from home, taking just 0.40 points per game on the road. Goals have dried up too—only 0.60 scored per away match—and the likely absence of Tyler Goodrham removes one of their most inventive midfielders. Defensively, they have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last five in all competitions.

Given MK Dons’ strong home form and Oxford’s ongoing away issues, the League Two side may sense an opportunity for a cup upset. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, with additional value on Over 1.5 goals and MK Dons Over 1.5.

This FA Cup match will be played on Friday 9 January 2026 at 19:30.

What is our MK Dons vs Oxford United prediction?

Our prediction for this match: MK Dons 2 - 1 Oxford United

MK Dons vs Oxford United Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5

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MK Dons Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwdld	1.60
Home	wdwdd	2.00
Away	dlwl	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	3.00	2.67	3.50
Scored	1.80	1.67	2.00
Conceded	1.20	1.00	1.50
BTTS	70%	83%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	25%
Expected Goals	1.55	1.42	1.74
Expected Goals Against	1.14	1.15	1.13

Oxford United Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llwll	0.90
Home	dwlwl	1.40
Away	dldll	0.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	40%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.20	2.40	2.00
Scored	0.90	1.20	0.60
Conceded	1.30	1.20	1.40
BTTS	70%	80%	60%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.30	1.52	1.07
Expected Goals Against	1.66	1.60	1.73