Port Vale will look to build on their emphatic 5-1 win over Blackpool as they return to Vale Park, where their form has been considerably stronger than on the road. As Fleetwood are hit by injuries, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Valiants average 1.67 points per game at home and have conceded just 0.50 goals per home match, supported by a solid xGA of 1.22. Even though Marvin Johnson picked up a knock, Vale should cope well in midfield, especially given their recent attacking confidence—scoring 1.83 goals per home outing.
The Cod Army, meanwhile, arrive with injury setbacks of their own as the Potter–Hughes duo is sidelined after the disappointing 1-0 defeat to Grimsby. Despite that loss, their overall form has been respectable, taking 1.50 points per game across their last five. They are far more compact away from home, conceding only 0.60 goals per away match, and keeping clean sheets in 60% of those fixtures. However, their xGA away (1.63) suggests they allow more chances than results indicate.
With Vale’s strong home numbers and Fleetwood’s tendency to grind low-scoring away matches, this FA Cup tie could be tighter than expected. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, with additional value on Home Win and Port Vale Draw no Bet.
This FA Cup match will be played on Friday 9 January 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Port Vale vs Fleetwood prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Port Vale 1 - 0 Fleetwood
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Devante Cole @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferPort Vale Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwwlw | 1.67 |
| Away | ldll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.33 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.83 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.70 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.22 | 1.48 |
Fleetwood Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldl | 1.50 |
| Home | wddwl | 1.60 |
| Away | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.28 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.47 | 1.63 |
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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