Cardiff City return to action full of confidence after their impressive 3-1 win over Luton, and with Eli King as the only absentee, Brian Barry-Murphy can once again rely on a settled side. Given Cardiff's fine home record, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Bluebirds’ recent numbers have been outstanding: 2.20 PPG overall, rising to 2.60 PPG at home, where they have won 80% of their matches. The Welsh side score 2.20 goals per home game and concede just 0.60, supported by strong underlying metrics – 2.02 xG for and only 0.72 xGA at home. Their consistency in the final third is also notable, having failed to score in 0% of matches.
AFC Wimbledon travel to South Wales after an entertaining 3-3 draw with Barnsley, but their form has been inconsistent. With 1.40 PPG overall, the Dons concede 1.50 goals per match, and their away expected goals (0.97) suggests they often struggle to create clear chances. Defensively, clean sheets are rare (just 10% overall), which is dangerous against a high-scoring Cardiff side. Although Wimbledon have taken 1.60 PPG away, their vulnerabilities without the ball remain clear.
Given Cardiff City's excellent home record (80% wins) and Wimbledon's inconsistency, Home Win should definitely be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Cardiff Over 1.5 goals as both sides average above 2.8 total goals per match.
This League 1 match will be played on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Cardiff 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Yousef Salech @ -111 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Yousef Salech @ 333 Odds
- Asian Handicap: AFC Wimbledon +1.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: AFC Wimbledon +2 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Cardiff to Win @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Cardiff to Win/Cardiff to Win @ 105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Cardiff - No @ -138 Odds
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View OfferCardiff Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Away | ddwdw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 2.02 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.99 | 0.72 | 1.26 |
AFC Wimbledon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Home | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Away | wldwd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.82 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.32 | 1.51 |
Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Cardiff (67%)
3 Matches
AFC Wimbledon (33%)
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