Exeter return to St James Park after a solid 0-0 draw with Mansfield, and with Pedro Borges the only absentee, manager Gary Caldwell has a settled group to work with. Given Northampton's ups and downs on the travels, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Grecians' home form has been strong, collecting 2.00 PPG and winning 67% of home fixtures. Defensively they have also been reliable on their own turf, conceding just 1.33 goals per game and keeping 67% clean sheets. Their expected goals at home stands at 1.54, slightly higher than Northampton’s away xG of 1.29, which suggests Exeter should be able to create the clearer chances.
Northampton, on the other hand, have just one confirmed absentee in Liam Shaw after a confidence-boosting 3-1 win over Stevenage. However, their away form is inconsistent, earning 1.00 PPG and scoring only 1.00 goal per game on the road. The Cobblers also concede 1.40 goals per away match, and their xGA of 1.96 away from home highlights their defensive vulnerability.
Considering Exeter's fine home PPG (2.00) and high clean-sheet rate, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Exeter to Win to Nil.
This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Exeter vs Northampton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Exeter 2 - 0 Northampton
Exeter vs Northampton Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jayden Wareham @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jayden Wareham @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Flynn Downes @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Exeter 0 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Exeter +1 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Exeter to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Exeter to Win/Exeter to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Exeter - Yes @ 150 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Exeter vs Northampton?
You can place your bets on Exeter vs Northampton at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferExeter Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdld | 1.50 |
| Home | wwl | 2.00 |
| Away | dlwdd | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.67 | 3.57 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.33 | 2.29 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.54 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.15 | 1.55 |
Northampton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldww | 1.20 |
| Home | dwllw | 1.40 |
| Away | dlldw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.65 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.07 | 1.96 |
Exeter vs Northampton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Exeter (13%)
15 Matches
Northampton (60%)
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