Exeter return to League One action looking to put their extraordinary 10-1 FA Cup defeat to Manchester City behind them. Fortunately, their league form remains solid and we predict that they will defeat Stevenage 1-0 on Matchday 27. The Grecians average 1.60 points per game overall, driven by outstanding home performances: 4 wins from 4, 3.00 PPG, and 100% clean sheets at St James Park. Exeter concede 0.00 goals per home match and score 2.25 on average, supported by a strong 1.47 home expected goals. Their defensive metrics away from home are poor, but at home they have been among the league’s most reliable sides. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team, which supports our betting angle.
Stevenage, however, arrive with a full squad and a decent away record. They take 1.33 PPG on the road, keeping 50% clean sheets and conceding just 0.83 per away game. Their matches are controlled, averaging 1.83 total goals away, while BTTS lands in 50%. Overall form is less convincing, with a five-match winless run (0W, 3D, 2L), and their xG numbers (0.98 away) remain modest. Exeter dominate the H2H with 12 wins from 23, and home form should again be decisive.
Given Exeter's splendid home record and strong defensive stats, Home Win is our main betting pick for this League One clash, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Stevenage away games average just 1.83 goals.
This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Exeter vs Stevenage prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Exeter 1 - 0 Stevenage
Exeter vs Stevenage Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jamie Reid @ 220 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferExeter Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdl | 1.60 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | llwdl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.25 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 0.00 | 3.17 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.47 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.03 | 1.94 |
Stevenage Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddldl | 1.00 |
| Home | lldd | 0.50 |
| Away | dwdll | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.50 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.06 | 1.18 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.07 | 1.43 |
Exeter vs Stevenage Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Exeter (52%)
23 Matches
Stevenage (13%)
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