As both Port Vale and Burton are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Saturday's relegation six-pointer, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. The Valiants are sitting in the relegation zone and come into this match off a narrow 1-0 loss to AFC Wimbledon. George Byers is the only absentee, leaving the rest of the squad available. At home, Port Vale have averaged 1.2 points per game, scoring 1.4 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Overall, they score 0.9 goals per game and concede 1.5, with clean sheets in 30% of matches. BTTS happens in 20% of their games. Their expected goals is 1.14, suggesting a struggle to create high-quality chances.
Burton Albion also fight near the bottom and are coming off a 2-1 loss to Doncaster. No fresh injury worries for Burton. Away from home, they struggle, averaging just 0.6 points per game, scoring 1.4 goals, conceding 1.8, and keeping clean sheets in 20% of matches. Overall, Burton averages 1.8 goals scored per game and 1.7 conceded, with BTTS in 60% of matches.
As both teams are struggling defensively and fighting for points at the bottom, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets seem appealing.
This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 12:31.
What is our Port Vale vs Burton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Port Vale 1 - 1 Burton
Port Vale vs Burton Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jake Beesley @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jake Beesley @ 550 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Port Vale +0.5 @ -236 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -188 Odds
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View OfferPort Vale Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Home | lwwll | 1.20 |
| Away | llwlw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.14 | 1.40 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.15 | 1.44 |
Burton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldl | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwdl | 1.40 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.32 | 1.63 |
Port Vale vs Burton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Port Vale (42%)
12 Matches
Burton (42%)
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