Harrogate enter this fixture in difficult form, losing four of their last five and carrying several key absences. Therefore, we predict that they will suffer a 2-1 loss to Gillingham on Saturday afternoon. Bradbury, Duke-McKenna, Gibson, and Hill remain sidelined for the hosts, while defender Jack Stevens is suspended, further weakening an already fragile back line. Their overall defensive numbers are troubling: 1.70 goals conceded per match, zero clean sheets this season, and an xGA of 2.10, which jumps to 2.02 at home. Despite averaging 3.50 total goals per home match, they score only 1.00 per home outing and fail to score 75% of the time at home, showing their lack of cutting edge.
Gillingham managed to put an end to their winless streak with a 3–2 victory over Newport and report no new injuries, aside from long-term absentee Euan Williams. The Gills are more reliable going forward, scoring 1.40 goals per match, with BTTS landing in 80% overall and 100% in home fixtures. Away from home they remain inconsistent, but their xG of 1.41 still suggests they tend to create decent chances.
Harrogate have historically dominated this matchup (4–2–1), yet with their injury crisis and defensive issues, the momentum leans toward the visitors. As Harrogate’s injuries and zero clean sheets make them vulnerable, Away Win should be considered alongside BTTS (Gillingham 80% BTTS overall; Harrogate concede freely) and Over 2.5 goals.
This League 2 match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Harrogate vs Gillingham prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Harrogate 1 - 2 Gillingham
Harrogate vs Gillingham Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Josh Andrews @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferHarrogate Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldll | 0.50 |
| Home | wlll | 0.75 |
| Away | lldll | 0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.50 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.10 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.10 | 2.02 | 2.15 |
Gillingham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddlw | 1.00 |
| Home | ddddw | 1.33 |
| Away | ddll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.17 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 1.77 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.61 | 1.35 |
Harrogate vs Gillingham Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Harrogate (57%)
7 Matches
Gillingham (14%)
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