MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers Prediction & Betting Tips | 27/01/2026

MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers Prediction and Betting Tips | 27 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

26 January 2026 • 23:23 UTC • 1 min read

MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers Prediction and Betting Tips 27 January 2026

MK Dons look to strengthen their top-three position as they take on struggling Bristol Rovers on Matchday 29. Given Bristol Rovers' poor run, our prediction points toward a 3-1 home win. MK Dons have taken 1.67 points per game at home, scoring 1.83 goals per match and conceding just 1.00. Their attacking output is backed by an expected goals of 1.42 at home, while defensively they allow an xGA of 1.36, showing good balance. They’ve also scored in 100% of home games and kept 17% clean sheets. Paul Warne is expected to stick with the same XI that demolished Shrewsbury 5-1, and their recent numbers support that stability.

Bristol Rovers travel to Buckinghamshire in poor form, losing four of their last five (LWLLL). Their away average of 0.80 points per game reflects their struggles, and they have failed to score in 60% of matches overall. Defensively, they concede 2.60 goals per game at home and 1.40 away, while their xGA of 1.44 away shows they allow far more chances than they create. Promise Omochere remains their only absentee, but the team’s structure remains shaky.

Historically, MK Dons edge the H2H (8 wins to 6), and current form suggests another home success. Given MK Dons' excellent home scoring numbers and Bristol Rovers' dip in form, Home Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on MK Dons Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.

This League 2 match will be played on Tuesday 27 January 2026 at 19:45.

What is our MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers prediction?

Our prediction for this match: MK Dons 3 - 1 Bristol Rovers

MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers Betting Tips

Correct Score: 3-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Anytime Goalscorer: Aaron Collins @ 120 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers?

You can place your bets on MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers at the following bookmakers:

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Best 🏆

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

MK Dons Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lddww	1.60
Home	wdddw	1.67
Away	lwlw	1.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	2.83	3.00
Scored	1.90	1.83	2.00
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	60%	83%	25%
Clean Sheets	30%	17%	50%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	25%
Expected Goals	1.49	1.42	1.60
Expected Goals Against	1.30	1.36	1.21

Bristol Rovers Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwlll	0.40
Home	lllll	0.00
Away	lldwl	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	0%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	3.60	2.20
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.80
Conceded	2.00	2.60	1.40
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	20%
Failed to Score	60%	60%	60%
Expected Goals	1.19	1.17	1.21
Expected Goals Against	1.52	1.60	1.44