Notts County return home after an important away win at Crawley, and with no fresh injury concerns. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat Crewe Alexandra 2-1 on Matchday 28. Their home record, however, remains underwhelming: just 1.00 point per game and only 20% home win rate, despite producing 2.40 average goals per home match. County often create enough (1.48 xG at home) but defensive lapses persist, as shown by 1.40 goals conceded per home game.
The Railwaymen, on the other hand, head into Saturday's game after a convincing 3-1 victory over Barrow, again showing resilience despite missing Lankester, Tabiner, Tezgel and Tracey — all still sidelined. Their overall form (LLWDW) is inconsistent, but they remain competitive in attack, averaging 1.70 goals per match and seeing BTTS in 80% of their recent fixtures. Defensive reliability is a major issue, though: 0 clean sheets all season and 1.66 xGA underline their vulnerability.
Historically this fixture is balanced (7–4–6), and with both sides scoring freely but struggling at the back, a high-tempo game is expected. Given Notts County's stronger squad availability and better recent momentum, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and BTTS markets seem appealing (Crewe’s 80% BTTS and Notts’ attacking home numbers).
This League 2 match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Notts County vs Crewe prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Notts County 2 - 1 Crewe
Notts County vs Crewe Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alassana Jatta @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferNotts County Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldlw | 1.50 |
| Home | dlwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | wwldw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.48 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.95 | 1.53 |
Crewe Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdw | 1.30 |
| Home | ddwdw | 1.67 |
| Away | lwll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.17 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.66 | 1.53 | 1.85 |
Notts County vs Crewe Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Notts County (41%)
17 Matches
Crewe (35%)
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