Swindon Town look to bounce back after a narrow 2-1 defeat to Crewe, but injuries continue to pile up, with Minturn, Smith, and Tafazolli all sidelined. Anyhow, we predict a 3-1 home win as Bristol Rovers are not regarded as good travellers. Despite their fitness issues, the Robins remain a strong home side, collecting 2.25 points per game at the County Ground and scoring an impressive 2.25 goals per home match. Their overall attacking numbers stay consistent as well, averaging 1.70 goals per game with a high 70% BTTS rate. Defensively, however, Swindon concede 1.40 goals per match, often leaving the door open.
Bristol Rovers, meanwhile, are boosted by a 3-1 win over Grimsby, and the return of Jack Sparkes from suspension strengthens their midfield options. Still, their away form is disastrous: 0 points, 0% win rate, and scoring just 0.25 goals per away match, while failing to score in 75% of their recent away outings. The Pirates' xG numbers away from home remain modest at 1.37, suggesting that most struggles stem from inefficiency in the final third.
Swindon Town are dominant at home and with Bristol Rovers struggling on the road, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win. Additionally, Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals markets should be considered as both teams average 3+ goals per match overall.
This League 2 match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Swindon vs Bristol Rovers prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Swindon 3 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Swindon vs Bristol Rovers Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1400 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Aaron Drinan @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Aaron Drinan @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Swindon 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Swindon +1 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Swindon to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Swindon to Win/Swindon to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Swindon - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferSwindon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | llwlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.45 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.31 | 1.70 |
Bristol Rovers Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllw | 0.90 |
| Home | lwwlw | 1.50 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.17 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
Swindon vs Bristol Rovers Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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