Lorient are brimming with confidence after securing a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Lens, and they now have a chance to make home advantage count against Toulouse. Les Merlus have won 50% of their last 10 matches, although their home record is less convincing, with just one victory in four. Alexandre Dujeux's troops average 1.50 goals conceded at home, while Bandiougou Fadiga remains sidelined through injury and there are no fresh concerns.
Toulouse have endured a slow start, losing to Lyon and Lille while drawing with Brest. However, their recent 1-0 defeat was somewhat harsh, as they produced 3.47 xG and managed 10 shots on target. They have scored 1.25 goals per away game across their last 10 and boast a 50% away win rate. Goalkeeper Guillaume Restes is a major doubt, which could further complicate matters.
As 59% of their H2Hs have produced at least two goals, we are tempted to place our bets on Over 1.5 goals, alongside BTTS (55% H2H) and Half-Time Draw.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lorient vs Toulouse prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse
Lorient vs Toulouse Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ibrahima Balde @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ibrahima Balde @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Thomas Jorgensen @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Toulouse +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Toulouse +1 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lorient - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferLorient Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwwlldlw | 1.60 |
| Home | lwll | 0.75 |
| Away | wwwldw | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.02 | 1.48 |
Toulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwllldl | 1.40 |
| Home | wdwlll | 1.17 |
| Away | wwld | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.33 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.58 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.37 | 1.23 |
Lorient vs Toulouse Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lorient (23%)
22 Matches
Toulouse (36%)
