What is our Lorient vs Toulouse prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse
Lorient vs Toulouse Preview
Lorient are brimming with confidence after securing a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Lens, and they now have a chance to make home advantage count against Toulouse. Les Merlus have won 50% of their last 10 matches, although their home record is less convincing, with just one victory in four. Alexandre Dujeux's troops average 1.50 goals conceded at home, while Bandiougou Fadiga remains sidelined through injury and there are no fresh concerns.
Toulouse have endured a slow start, losing to Lyon and Lille while drawing with Brest. However, their recent 1-0 defeat was somewhat harsh, as they produced 3.47 xG and managed 10 shots on target. They have scored 1.25 goals per away game across their last 10 and boast a 50% away win rate. Goalkeeper Guillaume Restes is a major doubt, which could further complicate matters.
As 59% of their H2Hs have produced at least two goals, we are tempted to place our bets on Over 1.5 goals, alongside BTTS (55% H2H) and Half-Time Draw.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Sat 12 Sep 2026, 19:45UK time
Lorient vs Toulouse Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Lorient 1-1 Toulouse | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 4/7 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 9/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Toulouse +0.5 | 3/5 | |
| European Handicap: Toulouse +1 | 8/13 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Ibrahima Balde | 13/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Ibrahima Balde | 11/2 | |
| To be Booked: Thomas Jorgensen | 13/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Lorient Clean Sheet: No | 1/3 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Lorient vs Toulouse?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLorient Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwwlldlw | 1.60 |
| Home | lwll | 0.75 |
| Away | wwwldw | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.02 | 1.48 |
Toulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwllldl | 1.40 |
| Home | wdwlll | 1.17 |
| Away | wwld | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.33 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.58 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.37 | 1.23 |
Lorient vs Toulouse Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lorient (23%)
22 Matches
Toulouse (36%)





