Nice vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips | 22/02/2026

Nice vs Lorient Prediction and Betting Tips | 22 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

18 February 2026 • 13:17 UTC • 1 min read

Nice vs Lorient Prediction and Betting Tips 22 February 2026

Nice face a tough test at home against Lorient after a 2-0 loss to Lyon, which highlighted their defensive struggles. As Lorient have been in a promising form of late, we predict a 2-1 away win. Nice forward Elye Wahi limped off injured, so Kail Boudache is expected to step up in attack, but their offensive output has been inconsistent, scoring 1.50 goals on average while conceding 1.60. Home form (dwdwd) hasn’t offered much reassurance, with clean sheets achieved in only 20% of matches and both teams scoring in 80% of games. Expected goals (xG 1.80 at home, xGA 1.25) also suggests chances created but a leaky defense.

Lorient, meanwhile, are in fine form, riding a 2-0 victory over Angers, and boast one of the league’s most impressive away records. Les Merlus average 3.17 goals in away games, conceding just 0.67, and have won four of their last five matches overall (wwwlw). Their expected goals of 1.68 indicates consistent chance creation, while xGA 1.54 reflects solid defensive organization.

Historically, H2H favors high-scoring contests, with 62% of meetings seeing both teams score. Taking everything into account, we predict Home Win, alongside BTTS and Over 1.5 goals.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:15.

What is our Nice vs Lorient prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Nice 1 - 2 Lorient

Nice vs Lorient Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-2 @ 1100 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Zoumana Diallo @ 105 Odds
First Goalscorer: Zoumana Diallo @ 350 Odds
To be Booked: Igor Carioca @ 175 Odds
Asian Handicap: Lorient +0.5 @ -138 Odds
European Handicap: Lorient +1 @ -143 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -143 Odds
Draw No Bet: Lorient to Win @ 150 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Lorient to Win/Lorient to Win @ 450 Odds
Clean Sheet: Nice - No @ -275 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Nice vs Lorient?

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Nice Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldwdl	1.30
Home	dwdwd	1.80
Away	dlwll	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	40%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	3.10	3.00	3.20
Scored	1.50	1.80	1.20
Conceded	1.60	1.20	2.00
BTTS	70%	80%	60%
Clean Sheets	10%	20%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.56	1.80	1.32
Expected Goals Against	1.54	1.25	1.83

Lorient Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwlw	2.30
Home	dwww	2.50
Away	wwwwl	2.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	75%	67%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.25	3.17
Scored	2.20	1.75	2.50
Conceded	0.60	0.50	0.67
BTTS	40%	50%	33%
Clean Sheets	50%	50%	50%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	33%
Expected Goals	1.53	1.31	1.68
Expected Goals Against	1.32	0.98	1.54