What is our Troyes vs Marseille prediction?
Troyes
2 - 2
Marseille
Our prediction for this match: Troyes 2 - 2 Marseille
Troyes vs Marseille Preview
Sunday’s game between Troyes and Olympique Marseille will bring down the curtain on the Ligue 1 round 6, with the hosts desperate to end a three-game losing run. Troyes have failed to find the net in back-to-back 2-0 defeats to Lille and Angers, highlighting their recent problems in front of goal. Yacoube Kone limped off with an injury in the latest league game and is unlikely to feature, while Troyes have failed to score in 33% of their home matches.
Marseille, on the other hand, have endured a nightmare run of form, losing their last five games in all competitions. Several star players left the club during the summer, including England ace Mason Greenwood, and OM have struggled badly at the back, conceding 2.00 goals per away game. Timothy Weah is suspended following his sending-off in the 2-1 defeat to PSG, while Igor Paixao has overcome his minor injury. Marseille have also lost all four of their recent away matches.
Given Marseille’s defensive struggles and their need for points, we are tempted to bet on Over 1.5 goals. Additionally Troyes Over 0.5 goals bet seems tempting as Marseille have been 2.00 goals per away game of late.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Sun 11 Oct 2026, 19:45UK time
Troyes vs Marseille Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Troyes 2-2 Marseille | 11/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 4/5 | |
| Draw No Bet: Marseille | 4/11 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 5/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Troyes +0.5 | 33/40 | |
| European Handicap: Troyes +1 | 4/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri | 5/4 | |
| First Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri | 9/2 | |
| To be Booked: Kelyann Bezahaf | 9/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/7 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 7/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Marseille Clean Sheet: No | 1/3 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 7/4 | |
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View OfferTroyes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwdwllld | 1.40 |
| Home | wdl | 1.33 |
| Away | wlwwlld | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.71 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.43 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.93 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
Marseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwllllll | 0.90 |
| Home | wwlwll | 1.50 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.67 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.33 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.92 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.79 |
Troyes vs Marseille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Troyes (10%)
10 Matches
Marseille (70%)
Troyes vs Marseille Past Results
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