What is our Man City vs Brighton prediction?
Man City
2 - 1
Brighton
Our prediction for this match: Man City 2 - 1 Brighton
Man City vs Brighton Preview
Man City will be aiming to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa when they host Brighton in the EFL Cup last 16. Pep Guardiola’s men produced an underwhelming performance at the weekend, with Jeremy Doku struggling to make an impact amid too many mistakes. Changes are expected for this cup tie, and the talented winger is likely to return to the starting XI alongside Phil Foden, Rico Lewis and Mateo Kovacic, who are all pushing for places. However, Semenyo is sidelined through injury.
Brighton, meanwhile, are also looking to get back on track after suffering a 2-0 Premier League defeat to Liverpool. The Seagulls have enjoyed a strong run overall, winning six of their last eight matches, and their attacking numbers are impressive, with an average of 2.60 goals scored per game across their last ten outings. Ferdi Kadioglu picked up a knock against Man City, meaning Costinha is likely to step in. Brighton will hope to exploit any defensive weaknesses in the hosts’ lineup.
As Man City have won 13 of their 19 previous meetings with Brighton, Home Win is our main betting tip for this EFL Cup match. Over 2.5 goals also looks tempting, with 13 of those 19 H2H clashes producing at least three goals, alongside Man City Over 1.5 team goals (average of 3.50 goals scored per home game).
This EFL Cup match will be played on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 19:30 in Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England.
- Competition
- EFL Cup
- Kick-off
- Wed 28 Oct, 19:30UK time
- Venue
- Etihad StadiumManchester • 55,097 seats
- Referee
- Andrew Madley
Man City vs Brighton Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreMan City 2-1 Brighton | 800 | |
| Double Chance1X | -400 | |
| Draw No BetMan City | -275 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeMan City / Man City | 175 | |
| Asian HandicapMan City -0.5 | -130 | |
| European HandicapBrighton +2 | -250 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -225 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -800 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -138 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -334 | |
| Clean SheetMan City: No | -350 | |
 Anytime GoalscorerErling Haaland |
-163 | |
| First GoalscorerErling Haaland |
300 | |
 To be BookedShane Nti |
162 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 160 |
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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMan City vs Brighton Line-ups
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 28 |  G. Rulli | GK |
| 82 |  R. Lewis | DF |
| 22 |  Vitor Nunes | DF |
| 6 |  M. Guéhi | DF |
| 33 |  N. O'Reilly | DF |
| 32 |  A. Bouaddi | MF |
| 8 |  M. Kovačić | MF |
| 47 |  P. Foden | MF |
| 10 |  R. Cherki | MF |
| 37 |  Allan | MF |
| 75 |  F. Samba | FW |
| Substitutes | ||
| 21 | R. Aït-Nouri | DF |
| 13 | M. Bettinelli | GK |
| 61 | K. Braithwaite | DF |
| 11 | J. Doku | FW |
| 17 | E. Fernández | MF |
| 45 | A. Khusanov | DF |
| 56 | R. McAidoo | FW |
| 7 | I. Ndiaye | FW |
| 76 | Dexter Oliver | MF |
 CoachE. Maresca | ||
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 23 |  J. Steele | GK |
| 20 |  Costinha | DF |
| 30 |  M. Svoboda | DF |
| 21 |  O. Boscagli | DF |
| 3 |  J. Hadjam | DF |
| 13 |  P. Groß | MF |
| 26 |  Y. Ayari | MF |
| 25 |  D. Gómez | MF |
| 8 |  J. Hinshelwood | MF |
| 35 |  M. Yalcouyé | MF |
| 10 |  G. Rutter | FW |
| Substitutes | ||
| 12 | P. David | FW |
| 29 | M. De Cuyper | DF |
| 5 | L. Dunk | DF |
| 11 | Y. Minteh | FW |
| 33 | M. O'Riley | MF |
| 15 | I. Osman | FW |
| 1 | B. Verbruggen | GK |
| 44 | L. Vušković | DF |
| 27 | M. Wieffer | MF |
 CoachF. Hürzeler | ||
Man City vs Brighton Injuries and Suspensions
| Player | Reason | Status |
|---|---|---|
 M. Nunes | Knock | Out |
 A. Semenyo | Knee Injury | Out |
| Player | Reason | Status |
|---|---|---|
 F. Azeez | Abdominal strain | Out |
 E. Ferguson | Ankle Injury | Out |
 Y. Minteh | Leg Injury | Out |
 K. Mitoma | Hamstring Injury | Out |
 P. Struijk | Rest | Out |
 S. Tzimas | Knee Injury | Out |
 M. Wieffer | Knee Injury | Out |
 Z. Yohanna | Injury | Out |
Man City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwlwwl | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwlww | 2.50 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 5.17 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.90 | 2.03 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.22 | 1.12 |
Brighton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwwwwdl | 2.00 |
| Home | dwww | 2.50 |
| Away | lwwwdl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 2.11 | 2.41 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 0.81 | 1.42 |
Man City vs Brighton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (68%)
19 Matches
Brighton (16%)
Man City vs Brighton Past Results
Where to Watch Man City vs Brighton
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