Inter Miami will once again look to Lionel Messi for inspiration when they face Philadelphia Union in a highly-anticipated MLS clash. With the Herons making a flying start to the new MLS campaign, we predict a 4-2 home win. Messi opened the scoring in Miami’s comfortable 2-0 win over Portland Timbers, and the hosts arrive in strong form after winning five of their last six matches. Inter Miami games continue to produce goals at an incredible rate, averaging 4.50 total goals per game across their last 10 fixtures, while BTTS has landed in 80% of those matches. The hosts have also scored in every recent game, averaging 2.70 goals per match overall.
Philadelphia Union travel to Florida hoping to bounce back from a frustrating 1-1 draw against Columbus Crew, but recent form remains a concern. The U's have managed just one win from their last 10 matches and continue to struggle defensively away from home, conceding 2.33 goals per game on average. However, Philadelphia away matches have also been entertaining lately, averaging 4.00 total goals per game, and the visitors head into this clash without any fresh injury concerns.
Considering Inter Miami's better form and Messi’s effect, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, Messi to Score and Over 2.5 goals markets seem appealing as recent meetings and current form point toward another high-scoring contest.
This MLS match will be played on Monday 25 May 2026 at 00:00.
What is our Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Inter Miami 4 - 2 Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-2 @ 2200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Over 4.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lionel Messi @ -300 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Lionel Messi @ 200 Odds
- To be Booked: Geiner Martinez @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Inter Miami -1 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Inter Miami -1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 14.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Inter Miami to Win @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Inter Miami to Win/Inter Miami to Win @ -111 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Inter Miami - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferInter Miami Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwwdlwww | 2.10 |
| Home | dddlw | 1.20 |
| Away | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.50 | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.04 | 2.44 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.31 |
Philadelphia Union Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwddldlld | 0.70 |
| Home | lddd | 0.75 |
| Away | lwdlll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 1.25 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.75 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 1.60 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.82 | 1.16 |
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Inter Miami (45%)
11 Matches
Philadelphia Union (36%)
