The spotlight at Chase Stadium will once again fall on Lionel Messi as Inter Miami look to turn their midweek 2-2 draw with Philadelphia into a return to winning ways against Toronto FC. Miami have scored freely of late, averaging 2.40 goals per game across their last 10 matches and an impressive 2.86 at home. Both teams scored in 86% of their recent home fixtures, highlighting their attacking strength but also some defensive vulnerabilities. Yannick Bright is suspended, although interim boss Guillermo Hoyos has plenty of options available.
Toronto FC, meanwhile, travel to Florida after an entertaining 3-3 draw with Charlotte and remain desperate to climb into playoff contention. They have won just one of their last 10 matches, while conceding 1.90 goals per game. Their away record is particularly poor, with no wins in six road games. Experienced defender Walker Zimmerman is suspended and could be a major miss.
Inter Miami's home attacking numbers make them strong favourites to win Sunday's clash. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip for this MLS matchup, alongside Inter Miami Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (54% of the previous H2Hs cleared this line).
This MLS match will be played on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30.
What is our Inter Miami vs Toronto FC prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Inter Miami 3 - 1 Toronto FC
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lionel Messi @ -400 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Lionel Messi @ 200 Odds
- To be Booked: Telasco Segovia @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Inter Miami -1.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Inter Miami -1 @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Inter Miami to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Inter Miami to Win/Inter Miami to Win @ -120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Inter Miami - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferInter Miami Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwdwllld | 1.70 |
| Home | wwwdwll | 1.86 |
| Away | wld | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.50 | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.86 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 86% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 14% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.79 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.80 | 1.67 |
Toronto FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllddldwd | 0.70 |
| Home | llwd | 1.00 |
| Away | llddld | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 4.75 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.65 |
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Inter Miami (69%)
13 Matches
Toronto FC (15%)
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Past Results
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