What is our New York City vs Cincinnati prediction?
Our prediction for this match: New York City 2 - 1 Cincinnati
New York City vs Cincinnati Preview
New York City take on Cincinnati in what promises to be an open and high-scoring MLS encounter, with 2-1 our predicted outcome. The Blue Pigeons come off a 2–1 defeat to Charlotte FC but remain in decent form overall (1.40 PPG). Their matches are among the most entertaining in the league, averaging a huge 3.90 goals per game, with 80% seeing both teams score. They’ve netted 2.10 goals per match but conceded 1.80, highlighting their attacking strength and defensive vulnerability. Several injury absences could impact squad depth.
Cincinnati travel to New York after a thrilling 3–3 draw with Chicago Fire and show similar patterns—high scoring but defensively fragile. Their games average an eye-catching 4.80 goals, conceding 2.40 per match. Away form is a major concern (0.20 PPG), with no wins and 3.40 goals conceded on average. The likes of Miazga, Nwobodo, and Fletcher are missing out with injuries, which definitely suits our betting angle.
Given New York City's fine home form, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (both teams extremely high-scoring).
This MLS match will be played on Thursday, 23 April 2026 at 00:30.
- League
- MLS
- Kick-off
- Thu 23 Apr 2026, 00:30UK time
New York City vs Cincinnati Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: New York City 2-1 Cincinnati | 7/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: New York City | 1/5 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: New York City / New York City | 11/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: New York City -0.5 | 17/20 | |
| European Handicap: New York City +1 | 1/8 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Nicolas Fernandez Mercau | 11/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Nicolas Fernandez Mercau | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Stiven Jimenez | 7/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| New York City Clean Sheet: No | 4/7 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferNew York City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwldlwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Away | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.14 | 1.71 |
Cincinnati Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwllwldd | 1.10 |
| Home | wlwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | lllld | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.80 | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.34 | 1.88 |
New York City vs Cincinnati Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
New York City (47%)
17 Matches
Cincinnati (35%)





