New York City take on Cincinnati in what promises to be an open and high-scoring MLS encounter, with 2-1 our predicted outcome. The Blue Pigeons come off a 2–1 defeat to Charlotte FC but remain in decent form overall (1.40 PPG). Their matches are among the most entertaining in the league, averaging a huge 3.90 goals per game, with 80% seeing both teams score. They’ve netted 2.10 goals per match but conceded 1.80, highlighting their attacking strength and defensive vulnerability. Several injury absences could impact squad depth.
Cincinnati travel to New York after a thrilling 3–3 draw with Chicago Fire and show similar patterns—high scoring but defensively fragile. Their games average an eye-catching 4.80 goals, conceding 2.40 per match. Away form is a major concern (0.20 PPG), with no wins and 3.40 goals conceded on average. The likes of Miazga, Nwobodo, and Fletcher are missing out with injuries, which definitely suits our betting angle.
Given New York City's fine home form, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (both teams extremely high-scoring).
This MLS match will be played on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30.
What is our New York City vs Cincinnati prediction?
Our prediction for this match: New York City 2 - 1 Cincinnati
New York City vs Cincinnati Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nicolas Fernandez Mercau @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Nicolas Fernandez Mercau @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Stiven Jimenez @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: New York City -0.5 @ -118 Odds
- European Handicap: New York City +1 @ -800 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: New York City to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: New York City to Win/New York City to Win @ 137 Odds
- Clean Sheet: New York City - No @ -175 Odds
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View OfferNew York City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwldlwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Away | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.14 | 1.71 |
Cincinnati Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwllwldd | 1.10 |
| Home | wlwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | lllld | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.80 | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.34 | 1.88 |
New York City vs Cincinnati Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
New York City (47%)
17 Matches
Cincinnati (35%)
