New York City will be looking to extend their winning streak to three matches when they welcome Toronto FC to Yankee Stadium in an important MLS clash. The hosts have hit top form at the right time, recording impressive victories over Columbus Crew (2-1) and Chicago Fire (3-1). Winger Agustin Ojeda has rediscovered his scoring touch and will once again be the main attacking threat after playing a key role in recent successes. New York City have also been reliable on home soil, winning two of their last three matches in front of their fans while averaging 2.0 goals per game. With momentum on their side, the hosts will fancy their chances of claiming another three points.
Toronto, meanwhile, continue to struggle near the foot of the Eastern Conference standings. The Reds head into the match after a disappointing 2-1 defeat to DC United and now find themselves six points adrift of the playoff places. More worrying for the visitors is their dreadful recent form, having failed to win any of their last ten league matches while averaging just 0.4 points per game. Injuries to Matheus Pereira and Nelson Palacio further weaken a side that has conceded 2.0 goals per match over the same period. Given New York City's excellent momentum and Toronto's ongoing struggles, we expect the home side to secure a comfortable victory.
New York City are on a two-game winning run, while Toronto are winless in their last ten league matches. Therefore, our main prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (Toronto's matches average 3.1 goals, and New York City have scored five goals in their last two outings).
This MLS match will be played on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 00:30.
What is our New York City vs Toronto FC prediction?
Our prediction for this match: New York City 2 - 1 Toronto FC
New York City vs Toronto FC Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nicolas Fernandez Mercau @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Nicolas Fernandez Mercau @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Niklas Dorsch @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: New York City -0.5 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Toronto FC +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: New York City to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: New York City to Win/New York City to Win @ 160 Odds
- Clean Sheet: New York City - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferNew York City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwwdllww | 1.60 |
| Home | lww | 2.00 |
| Away | lwwdllw | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.14 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.04 | 1.19 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.53 | 1.35 |
Toronto FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldllllddl | 0.40 |
| Home | dldll | 0.40 |
| Away | llddl | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.69 |
New York City vs Toronto FC Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
New York City (45%)
29 Matches
Toronto FC (31%)
New York City vs Toronto FC Past Results
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