Orlando City aim to kickstart the new MLS campaign in style and with the club chiefs adding several high-profile players to the squad, we predict that they will do so with a 2-1 win over New York Red Bulls. The Lions enter the new season with heavy reinforcement: Tiago, Luis Otavio, Iago Teodoro, Braian Ojeda, Griffin Dorsey, Tyrese Spicer and elite goalkeeper Maxime Crepeau all arrive to rebuild a side that ended last year in poor form (0.60 PPG overall). Despite the ugly run of five without a win, Orlando were more competitive at home (1.33 PPG) and consistently scored — 0% failed-to-score rate and 100% BTTS at home underline that they always create danger, supported by a solid xG profile of 1.63 overall.
New York Red Bulls also reinforced their squad with Jorge Ruvalcaba, Gustav Berggren, Andy Rojas and Justin Che. Last season was inconsistent: 1.00 PPG overall, strong at home (1.40), but shaky away (0.60 PPG). The Metros conceded 1.80 goals per away match and kept only 20% clean sheets on the road, though their xGA of 1.42 suggests they were sometimes punished more than they deserved.
Historically the matchup is close (11–9 to RBNY), but opening day leans toward Orlando: stronger upgrades, home advantage, and a team that always scores in this stadium. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, with additional value on Orlando Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.
This MLS match will be played on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:30.
What is our Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Orlando City 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls
Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -167 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Martin Ojeda @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Martin Ojeda @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Jorge Ruvalcaba @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Orlando City -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: NY Red Bulls +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Orlando City to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Orlando City to Win/Orlando City to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Orlando City - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferOrlando City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlll | 0.60 |
| Home | wdl | 1.33 |
| Away | lddll | 0.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.33 | 3.86 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.67 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.71 |
| BTTS | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 1.07 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.75 | 1.86 | 1.69 |
New York Red Bulls Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | wwdll | 1.40 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 0.90 | 1.42 |
Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Orlando City (36%)
25 Matches
New York Red Bulls (44%)
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