An exciting MLS games awaits as Orlando City host Philadelphia Union on Thursday morning. As Philadelphia do not seem to be at their sharpest, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. The Lions will be eager to bounce back from a disappointing 2-0 defeat to CF Montreal, but recent performances suggest there is still plenty of attacking quality in the squad. The Lions average 4.10 total goals per game across their last ten matches, with 1.60 goals scored per contest. However, defensive problems continue to haunt Orlando, who have managed just one clean sheet in that span while conceding 2.50 goals per game on average. Croatia international Marco Pasalic remains doubtful for the hosts.
Philadelphia Union, meanwhile, travel to Florida desperate to end a worrying five-game winless streak after losing to New England last time out. The U's have struggled for consistency, collecting only 0.70 points per game from their last ten matches. Still, their away fixtures have been entertaining, averaging 3.29 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 86% of those outings. Defender Frankie Westfield is likely to miss out through injury, which could further weaken an already vulnerable back line.
Given Orlando's home advantage and stronger recent form, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Over 9.5 corners and Over 2.5 goals markets seem appealing (68% of previous meetings cleared this line).
This MLS match will be played on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30.
What is our Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Orlando City 3 - 1 Philadelphia Union
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Bruno Damiani @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Bruno Damiani @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Wilder Cartagena @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Orlando City +0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Orlando City +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -188 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Orlando City to Win @ 100 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Orlando City to Win/Orlando City to Win @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Philadelphia - No @ -400 Odds
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View OfferOrlando City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwlwlwwl | 1.30 |
| Home | lw | 1.50 |
| Away | lldwlwwl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 38% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 3.00 | 4.38 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 2.50 | 1.00 | 2.88 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 13% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 38% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.55 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.08 | 1.76 | 2.16 |
Philadelphia Union Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldllwddldl | 0.70 |
| Home | ldd | 0.67 |
| Away | ldlwdll | 0.71 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 1.00 | 3.29 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 33% | 86% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.65 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.87 | 1.08 |
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Orlando City (36%)
22 Matches
Philadelphia Union (32%)
