Fresh from back-to-back league victories, Philadelphia Union will be looking to continue their climb up the Eastern Conference standings when they welcome Atlanta United to Subaru Park. The hosts followed up their win over New York Red Bulls with another impressive triumph against Seattle Sounders, giving their playoff hopes a timely boost. Philadelphia have been particularly reliable on home soil of late, averaging just 0.4 goals conceded per game across their last five home matches while collecting 1.8 points per game. Ndinga and Korzeniowski remain doubtful, but the Union will still fancy their chances against the league's bottom side.
Atlanta United, meanwhile, are desperate to end a disappointing run after suffering a heavy 4-1 defeat to New England Revolution last time out. The Five Stripes have struggled defensively throughout the campaign, managing only one clean sheet in their last ten league matches while conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Off-field uncertainty has also emerged, with Emmanuel Latte Lath and Paulo Díaz both reportedly attracting transfer interest ahead of the window's closure. Given Philadelphia's recent improvement and Atlanta's defensive issues, we believe the hosts are well placed to claim another important three points.
As Philadelphia have rediscovered their form with consecutive victories and boast a strong recent home record, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (five of Atlanta's last seven league games have featured at least three goals, making another high-scoring affair likely).
This MLS match will be played on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30.
What is our Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Philadelphia Union 3 - 1 Atlanta United
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Milan Iloski @ -105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Milan Iloski @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Toto Majub @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atlanta Utd +2.5 @ -527 Odds
- European Handicap: Atlanta Utd +3 @ -550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Philadelphia to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Philadelphia to Win/Philadelphia to Win @ 137 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Philadelphia - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferPhiladelphia Union Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddldlldlww | 1.00 |
| Home | dddww | 1.80 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 1.40 | 5.60 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 0.40 | 3.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 0.82 | 1.39 |
Atlanta United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwldllldl | 1.10 |
| Home | wl | 1.50 |
| Away | wwdllldl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 13% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.61 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.41 |
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Philadelphia Union (35%)
20 Matches
Atlanta United (30%)
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Past Results
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