Philadelphia Union return home under pressure after a poor run of form, collecting just 0.60 points per game across their last 10 matches. Therefore, we predict a 1-0 win for Nashville. Phila's attacking struggles are clear, averaging only 0.90 goals per game and failing to score in 40% of fixtures—rising to 75% at home. The suspension of Japhet Sery Larsen adds further concern, although their defensive numbers (1.60 conceded) are not as alarming as their lack of cutting edge.
Nashville SC are in far better shape, averaging 2.00 points per game and winning 6 of their last 10 matches. They’ve been particularly strong defensively, conceding just 0.60 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 50% of games. Their away form stands out, with a 67% win rate and only 0.50 goals conceded per match, suggesting a disciplined and effective approach on the road. Head-to-head meetings have historically been tight and low-scoring, with only 25% going over 2.5 goals and BTTS landing in just 38% of clashes.
Given Nashville's superior form and defense, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (low-scoring H2H trend).
This MLS match will be played on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30.
What is our Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Philadelphia Union 0 - 1 Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Sam Surridge @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Sam Surridge @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Bryan Acosta @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Nashville SC +0.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Nashville SC +1 @ -150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -150 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Nashville SC to Win @ 137 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Nashville SC to Win/Nashville SC to Win @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Nashville SC - Yes @ 275 Odds
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View OfferPhiladelphia Union Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldllwddl | 0.60 |
| Home | llld | 0.25 |
| Away | ldlwdl | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 1.25 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.00 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Nashville SC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwldwwwwl | 2.00 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | wdlwww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.01 | 1.30 |
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Philadelphia Union (50%)
8 Matches
Nashville SC (13%)
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC Past Results
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