Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips | 01/03/2026

Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction and Betting Tips | 1 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

1 March 2026 • 12:14 UTC • 1 min read

Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction and Betting Tips 1 March 2026

Philadelphia Union aim to respond after a disappointing 1-0 loss to D.C. United, a match in which they produced only 0.54 expected goals, showing clear early-season rust in attack. As Philadelphia and New York City seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. The good news for the hosts is their 7-0 CONCACAF Champions League win over Defence Force, which offered a much-needed morale lift. However, they will be without suspended forward Ezekiel Alladoh, slightly limiting their offensive rotation.

New York City FC opened the campaign with a 1-1 draw against the Los Angeles Galaxy, generating a respectable 1.35 xG, but injuries to Jones, Martinez, and Perea leave their midfield depth stretched. Historically, this matchup is extremely balanced: 27 meetings, with NYCFC winning 13, Philadelphia 12, and 2 draws, while goals are common—81% over 1.5 goals and 63% BTTS.

As 63% of H2H meetings saw both teams score, we are tempted to bet on BTTS, with additional value on Over 1.5 goals and Draw (small stake).

This MLS match will be played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:30.

What is our Philadelphia Union vs New York City prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Philadelphia Union 1 - 1 New York City

Philadelphia Union vs New York City Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Bruno Damiani @ 200 Odds
First Goalscorer: Bruno Damiani @ 600 Odds
To be Booked: Geiner Martinez @ 160 Odds
Asian Handicap: New York City +0.5 @ -149 Odds
European Handicap: New York City +1 @ -150 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -150 Odds
Draw No Bet: Philadelphia to Win @ -200 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
Clean Sheet: Philadelphia - No @ -275 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Philadelphia Union vs New York City?

You can place your bets on Philadelphia Union vs New York City at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Philadelphia Union Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwldwlwlw	1.90
Home	wwdlw	2.00
Away	wlwwl	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	60%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	3.10	2.80	3.40
Scored	2.50	2.20	2.80
Conceded	0.60	0.60	0.60
BTTS	10%	20%	0%
Clean Sheets	60%	60%	60%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.76	1.86	1.67
Expected Goals Against	0.94	0.80	1.08

New York City Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwllwdwwld	1.40
Home	lld	0.33
Away	wlwwwld	1.86

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	0%	57%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	2.33	2.86
Scored	1.10	0.33	1.43
Conceded	1.60	2.00	1.43
BTTS	50%	33%	57%
Clean Sheets	30%	33%	29%
Failed to Score	30%	67%	14%
Expected Goals	1.26	1.44	1.18
Expected Goals Against	1.45	1.24	1.53