San Jose Earthquakes kick off the new MLS campaign high on confidence after three straight preseason wins, including a confident 2–0 victory over New York City in their final warm-up. As Sporting Kansas City are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-1 home win. San Jose's preseason metrics show strong attacking consistency: 1.40 goals scored per match, 0% failed-to-score rate, and xG 1.66 overall. Defensive issues remain—conceding 2.10 goals per match—but their ability to create chances, especially at home (xG 2.14), should give them an edge.
Sporting Kansas City, on the other hand, defeated Austin FC in their last friendly game, but they struggled on the road last season. Their away numbers were worrying: 0% win rate in last five, 3.40 goals conceded per match, and 2.03 xGA, showing a fragile back line. Although the Wizards averaged 1.00 goal scored in all venues, their 40% failed-to-score rate overall highlights a team struggling for attacking rhythm.
Given San Jose's excellent preseason, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 Goals (both teams high goals-per-game) and BTTS – Yes (SJ 90% BTTS rate).
This MLS match will be played on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 03:30.
What is our San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferSan Jose Earthquakes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlw | 1.20 |
| Home | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Away | lwlwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 2.14 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 0.97 | 1.56 |
Sporting Kansas City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllld | 0.40 |
| Home | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.50 | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.65 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.20 | 2.03 |
San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
San Jose Earthquakes (28%)
29 Matches
Sporting Kansas City (52%)
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