Toronto FC and CF Montreal face each other in the Canadian derby, with the hosts desperate to put an end to their three-game losing streak after going down 2-0 to Nashville before the international break. Despite the defeat, Toronto managed 0.86 expected goals and will hope to be more productive in front of their own fans. Walker Zimmerman returns from suspension, while Chukwu, Kuscevic, Laryea and Cimermancic are back from international duty, giving the Reds a timely boost. Toronto have been more effective at home, averaging 2.40 goals per game across their recent home fixtures, although defensive frailties remain a major concern.
CF Montreal, meanwhile, will look to build on a morale-boosting 3-1 victory over FC Cincinnati, which ended their dismal losing run. However, their playoff hopes remain slim, leaving little room for further slip-ups. The visitors have struggled on the road, collecting just 0.80 points per game in their recent away matches and conceding an average of 2.40 goals per game. Both Ceballos and Vera are doubtful, which could complicate their preparations for this derby. Still, Montreal have shown enough attacking potential to take advantage of Toronto's defensive weaknesses.
With both teams regularly conceding and Toronto enjoying home advantage, our predictions lean toward Home Win, Toronto Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.
This MLS match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Toronto FC vs CF Montreal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Toronto FC 2 - 1 CF Montreal
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Josh Sargent @ -105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Josh Sargent @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Brayan Vera @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Toronto FC 0 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: CF Montreal +2 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Toronto FC to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Toronto FC to Win/Toronto FC to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Toronto FC - No @ -350 Odds
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View OfferToronto FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwddwlll | 1.30 |
| Home | wdddw | 1.80 |
| Away | dwlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.52 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.68 | 1.86 |
CF Montreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdldlllwlw | 1.10 |
| Home | dlwlw | 1.40 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.48 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.74 | 1.54 | 1.94 |
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Toronto FC (43%)
44 Matches
CF Montreal (39%)
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Past Results
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