What is our Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Toronto FC 2 - 1 Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Preview
Toronto FC take on Philadelphia Union in a matchup between two sides searching for consistency in MLS. Given Philadelphia's ups and downs on the road, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. The Reds head into the midweek clash following a chaotic 3–3 draw with Austin FC, with recent form reading (1.50 PPG). They’ve been entertaining but defensively fragile, averaging 3.50 total goals per game and conceding 1.80. At home, they are far stronger (2.00 PPG, 100% BTTS), though the absence of key defender Benoît Kuscevic could worsen their defensive stability.
Philadelphia Union travel to Canada after a frustrating 0–0 draw with D.C. United, where dominance didn’t translate into goals. Their form (0.80 PPG) has been poor overall, but they remain dangerous in transitions, averaging 1.40 goals per game. Away from home, the U's are inconsistent but capable of scoring (1.25 per game, 100% BTTS). No new injury concerns give them a relatively stable squad. Head-to-head history favours Toronto slightly, but 63% of meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, suggesting another open contest.
Given Toronto's stronger home form edge, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (high-scoring H2H pattern).
This MLS match will be played on Thursday, 23 April 2026 at 00:30.
- League
- MLS
- Kick-off
- Thu 23 Apr 2026, 00:30UK time
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Toronto FC 2-1 Philadelphia Union | 9/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 4/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Toronto FC | 5/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Toronto FC / Toronto FC | 10/3 | |
| Asian Handicap: Toronto FC +0.5 | 19/40 | |
| European Handicap: Toronto FC +1 | 2/9 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Josh Sargent | 8/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Josh Sargent | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Geiner Martinez | 6/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Toronto FC Clean Sheet: No | 2/7 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferToronto FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllwdwwdd | 1.50 |
| Home | wdwwdd | 2.00 |
| Away | lllw | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.33 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.64 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.58 | 1.49 |
Philadelphia Union Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllldllwd | 0.80 |
| Home | wlllld | 0.67 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.96 | 0.90 | 1.04 |
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Toronto FC (43%)
35 Matches
Philadelphia Union (31%)





