What is our Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction?
Bulgaria
1 - 1
Iceland
Our prediction for this match: Bulgaria 1 - 1 Iceland
Bulgaria vs Iceland Preview
Bulgaria will look to build on a 2-0 victory over Luxembourg as they aim to break into the top two and strengthen their promotion hopes. However, the hosts remain without PAOK winger Kiril Despodov, who continues his recovery from a long-term injury. In his absence, Crvena Zvezda forward Kristiyan Balov could be a key attacking figure. Bulgaria have struggled to produce consistent performances at home, scoring just 0.75 goals per game across their last four matches, while their home xG of 1.20 suggests there is room for improvement in the final third.
Iceland, meanwhile, are determined to preserve their unbeaten record and maintain top position in Group 4. The visitors were held to a goalless draw by Estonia in the previous round, but several experienced players have made the squad, including Gylfi Sigurdsson, Aron Gunnarsson and Orri Oskarsson. Lille midfielder Hakon Arnar Haraldsson is another important attacking option. Iceland have struggled on their travels, though, scoring just 0.75 goals per away game in their last eight outings and failing to score in five of those matches.
Iceland have the quality to avoid defeat, but this could be a tight encounter. Therefore, our main prediction is Iceland or Draw, with additional value on Under 2.5 goals (63% of Iceland's away matches have stayed below three goals) and Iceland over 0.5 team goals (Bulgaria have kept just one clean sheet in their last four home games).
This Nations League match will be played on Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Nations League
- Kick-off
- Fri 13 Nov 2026, 19:45UK time
Bulgaria vs Iceland Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Bulgaria 1-1 Iceland | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 10/11 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 4/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Bulgaria +1 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Bulgaria +1 | 10/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
 Anytime Goalscorer: Andri Gudjohnsen |
15/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Andri Gudjohnsen |
11/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 7/10 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/12 | |
| Iceland Clean Sheet: No | 4/7 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 7/4 | |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferBulgaria vs Iceland Line-ups
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Daniel Naumov | GK |
| 13 |  Stefan Velkov | DF |
| 19 |  Ivan Turitsov | DF |
| 5 |  Kristian Dimitrov | DF |
| 21 |  Dimitar Velkovski | DF |
| 4 |  Ilia Gruev | MF |
| 11 |  Georgi Rusev | MF |
| 20 |  Lukas Petkov | MF |
| 8 |  Andrian Kraev | MF |
| 14 |  Asen Chandarov | MF |
| 9 |  Atanas Iliev | FW |
| Coach A. Ribarski |
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 12 |  H. Valdimarsson | GK |
| 4 |  V. Pálsson | DF |
| 3 |  D. Grétarsson | DF |
| 19 |  Mikael Ellertsson | DF |
| 23 |  H. Magnússon | DF |
| 8 |  Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | MF |
| 7 |  H. Haraldsson | MF |
| 22 | A. Guðjohnsen | MF |
| 10 |  G. Sigurðsson | MF |
| 18 |  M. Anderson | MF |
| 9 |  O. Óskarsson | FW |
| Coach A. Gunnlaugsson |
Bulgaria vs Iceland Standings
Bulgaria
Iceland
| 3rd | Position | 1st |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Points | 8 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1-1-2 | Won-Drawn-Lost | 2-2-0 |
| 3 : 5 | Goals for : against | 7 : 1 |
| -2 | Goal difference | +6 |
| WLDL | Form | DWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 8 | DWWD |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 | DWDD |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLDL |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 | LLLW |
Bulgaria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwldldlw | 1.40 |
| Home | wlld | 1.00 |
| Away | lwwdlw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 1.75 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.20 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.34 | 1.39 |
Iceland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llddlldwwd | 1.00 |
| Home | dw | 2.00 |
| Away | llddllwd | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 13% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.38 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.50 | 1.63 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 0% | 63% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.83 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.05 | 1.60 |
Bulgaria vs Iceland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bulgaria (0%)
1 Matches
Iceland (100%)
Bulgaria vs Iceland Past Results
Where to Watch Bulgaria vs Iceland
No TV broadcaster is listed for this match yet.
Listings can change before kick-off.
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