Stadion Hristo Botev will host a Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Luxembourg, with the hosts hoping to return to winning ways following a 2-2 friendly draw with Moldova. Crvena Zvezda forward Kristiyan Balov has earned a call-up after a couple of fine displays in the Serbian Super League, while PAOK ace Kiril Despodov misses out through injury in what is a major blow for Bulgaria. The hosts have struggled at home recently, winning just 25% of their last four matches and scoring only 0.75 goals per game.
Luxembourg, on the other hand, will be hoping to build on a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Albania. Boss Jeff Strasser has opted for experience, with Laurent Jans, Anthony Moris, Vincent Thill, and Sebastian Thill among the key names in the squad, while Omar Natami could make his Luxembourg debut. The visitors have won 40% of their last five away matches, keeping clean sheets in 40% of their last 10 overall.
Luxembourg’s away games average only 2.00 goals, while their last five away matches have seen just 0% BTTS. Given Kiril Despodov's absence for Bulgaria, Under 2.5 goals seems like the best betting option for this matchup, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Half-Time Draw.
This Nations League match will be played on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bulgaria 1 - 1 Luxembourg
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 450 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -3300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kristiyan Balov @ 300 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Luxembourg +0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Bulgaria +1 @ -900 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bulgaria - No @ -163 Odds
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View OfferBulgaria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllllwwwld | 1.00 |
| Home | llwl | 0.75 |
| Away | lllwwd | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 0.75 | 2.17 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 2.75 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 0.99 | 0.67 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.85 | 2.07 | 1.71 |
Luxembourg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllllwwlw | 0.90 |
| Home | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Away | lllww | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 0.97 | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.36 | 1.85 |
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bulgaria (40%)
5 Matches
Luxembourg (0%)





