Latvia vs Gibraltar Prediction & Betting Tips | 31/03/2026

Latvia vs Gibraltar Prediction and Betting Tips | 31 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

29 March 2026 • 17:13 UTC • 1 min read

Latvia vs Gibraltar Prediction and Betting Tips 31 March 2026

The UEFA Nations League relegation final second leg sees Latvia host Gibraltar with a 1-0 advantage from the first leg. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a 1-0 home win. Despite Latvia’s poor overall form (just 0.70 points per game), they’ve already shown enough to edge this matchup, and with no injury concerns, boss Paolo Nicolato is expected to stick with the same XI. Latvia’s main issue has been scoring, averaging just 0.50 goals per match and failing to score in 60% of games.

However, the Latvians face a Gibraltar side in disastrous form, losing all of their last 10 matches while conceding a massive 2.90 goals per game. Gibraltar also struggle badly in attack, scoring just 0.20 goals on average and failing to score in 80% of matches.

Head-to-head also favors Latvia, with 3 wins in 4 meetings. Given Gibraltar’s defensive fragility and Latvia’s aggregate lead, this is likely to be a controlled, low-quality contest rather than an open one. Therefore, we predict Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals.

This Nations League match will be played on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00.

What is our Latvia vs Gibraltar prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Latvia 1 - 0 Gibraltar

Latvia vs Gibraltar Betting Tips

Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5

Where Can You Place Bets on Latvia vs Gibraltar?

You can place your bets on Latvia vs Gibraltar at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Latvia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lddlldldlw	0.70
Home	ddldl	0.60
Away	lldlw	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	0%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.00	2.40	1.60
Scored	0.50	0.60	0.40
Conceded	1.50	1.80	1.20
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	60%	60%	60%
Expected Goals	0.93	0.92	0.93
Expected Goals Against	1.73	1.58	1.88

Gibraltar Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llllllllll	0.00
Home	lllllll	0.00
Away	lll	0.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	3.10	2.71	4.00
Scored	0.20	0.14	0.33
Conceded	2.90	2.57	3.67
BTTS	20%	14%	33%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	80%	86%	67%
Expected Goals	0.52	0.64	0.25
Expected Goals Against	2.36	2.21	2.72