Luxembourg vs Malta Prediction & Betting Tips | 31/03/2026

Luxembourg vs Malta Prediction and Betting Tips | 31 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

29 March 2026 • 17:22 UTC • 1 min read

Luxembourg vs Malta Prediction and Betting Tips 31 March 2026

Stade de Luxembourg will host the UEFA Nations League relegation final second leg between Luxembourg and Malta, with the hosts holding a 2-0 advantage from the first leg. As Malta are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 1-0 home win. Luxembourg may be low on confidence overall (0.40 points per game), but they’ve taken a crucial step toward survival. Their defensive approach has brought some stability (20% clean sheets), although scoring remains a major issue at just 0.30 goals per match. With Anthony Moris doubtful, Tiago Pereira Cardoso is expected to deputize in goal.

Malta head into this clash needing a big turnaround, but their form offers little encouragement (0.80 points per game). They concede heavily (2.40 goals per match) while also struggling in attack, scoring just 0.80 on average and failing to score in 50% of games. The likely absence of Teddy Teuma further weakens their already limited creativity.

As aggregate lead allows them to control the game safely, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Luxembourg to Win to Nil (both teams have very low scoring averages and cautious approach expected).

This Nations League match will be played on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00.

What is our Luxembourg vs Malta prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Luxembourg 2 - 0 Malta

Luxembourg vs Malta Betting Tips

Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5

Where Can You Place Bets on Luxembourg vs Malta?

You can place your bets on Luxembourg vs Malta at the following bookmakers:

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Best 🏆

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Luxembourg Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lldllllllw	0.40
Home	ldlll	0.20
Away	llllw	0.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	0%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	1.60	2.60
Scored	0.40	0.20	0.60
Conceded	1.70	1.40	2.00
BTTS	20%	20%	20%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	70%	80%	60%
Expected Goals	0.95	1.07	0.84
Expected Goals Against	1.42	1.12	1.72

Malta Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldldwllwll	0.80
Home	dwllll	0.67
Away	lldw	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	17%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	3.33	3.25
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.50
Conceded	2.50	2.33	2.75
BTTS	40%	50%	25%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	50%	50%	50%
Expected Goals	0.98	1.03	0.90
Expected Goals Against	1.78	1.37	2.39