Malta vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips | 26/03/2026

Malta vs Luxembourg Prediction and Betting Tips | 26 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

23 March 2026 • 12:03 UTC • 1 min read

Malta vs Luxembourg Prediction and Betting Tips 26 March 2026

Malta and Luxembourg square off against each other in the first leg of the UEFA Nations League relegation playoff. Malta’s recent form has been poor, with just one win in ten games and a 20% win rate overall. Emilio De Leo's men average only 0.8 goals per match while conceding 2.4, showing clear attacking and defensive struggles. Half of their last ten matches ended with them failing to score. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.

Luxembourg have an even worse recent record, winning just 10% of their last ten matches. Their scoring woes are pronounced, with 0.3 goals per game, though they concede slightly less than Malta, at 1.7 per match. They’ve failed to score in 70% of their last ten games. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team ahead of the first leg.

As both teams have low scoring records, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals as our main pick. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets are worth considering.

This Nations League match will be played on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 17:00.

What is our Malta vs Luxembourg prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Malta 1 - 1 Luxembourg

Malta vs Luxembourg Betting Tips

Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5

Where Can You Place Bets on Malta vs Luxembourg?

You can place your bets on Malta vs Luxembourg at the following bookmakers:

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18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Malta Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lldldwllwl	0.80
Home	ldwlll	0.67
Away	lldw	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	17%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	3.17	3.25
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.50
Conceded	2.40	2.17	2.75
BTTS	40%	50%	25%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	50%	50%	50%
Expected Goals	1.04	1.13	0.90
Expected Goals Against	1.81	1.42	2.39

Luxembourg Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlldllllll	0.40
Home	wldlll	0.67
Away	llll	0.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	17%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.00	1.50	2.75
Scored	0.30	0.33	0.25
Conceded	1.70	1.17	2.50
BTTS	20%	17%	25%
Clean Sheets	20%	33%	0%
Failed to Score	70%	67%	75%
Expected Goals	1.02	1.14	0.83
Expected Goals Against	1.47	1.22	1.84