What is our Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Northern Ireland 1 - 1 Ukraine
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Preview
Expect a lively atmosphere at Windsor Park as Northern Ireland look to maintain their position at the top of the standings. The Green and White Army have been particularly impressive defensively, keeping clean sheets in all four group matches. However, Michael O'Neill faces several selection problems, with Daniel Ballard, Eoin Toal and Jamie McDonnell sidelined through injuries, while Blackpool striker Dion Charles has been omitted from the squad. Northern Ireland have also struggled for goals at home, scoring just twice in their last four matches.
Ukraine, meanwhile, are determined to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Hungary and remain in contention for a top-two finish. Roman Yaremchuk is pushing for a starting berth after scoring as a substitute against Hungary, while Ajax winger Viktor Tsygankov misses out through injury. The visitors have been inconsistent in front of goal, scoring just 0.75 goals per away game in their last four outings.
With Northern Ireland boasting four consecutive clean sheets in the group and Ukraine struggling offensively on their travels, a low-scoring encounter looks likely. Under 2.5 goals is the main betting choice, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw (small stake).
This Nations League match will be played on Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Nations League
- Kick-off
- Sat 14 Nov 2026, 19:45UK time
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Northern Ireland 1-1 Ukraine | 5/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 8/15 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 10/3 | |
| Asian Handicap: Ukraine +0.5 | 3/5 | |
| European Handicap: Ukraine +1 | 4/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| 12/5 | ||
| 6/1 | ||
| To be Booked: Ivan Varfolomeyev | 7/4 | |
| 4/9 | ||
| 2/1 | ||
| 5/1 | ||
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/20 | |
| Northern Ireland Clean Sheet: No | 1/2 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 7/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferNorthern Ireland vs Ukraine Line-ups
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | GK | |
| 22 | DF | |
| 4 | DF | |
| 15 | DF | |
| 5 | MF | |
| 19 | MF | |
| 3 | MF | |
| 7 | MF | |
| 14 | FW | |
| 10 | FW | |
| 16 | FW |
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | GK | |
| 3 | DF | |
| 13 | DF | |
| 5 | DF | |
| 4 | DF | |
| 18 | MF | |
| 15 | MF | |
| 19 | MF | |
| 10 | MF | |
| 8 | MF | |
| 9 | FW | |
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Standings
| 1st | Position | 3rd |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Points | 4 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2-2-0 | Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-1-2 |
| 4 : 0 | Goals for : against | 2 : 5 |
| +4 | Goal difference | -3 |
| DWDW | Form | LLDW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 8 | DWDW |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | LLDW |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | DLDL |
Northern Ireland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldwlwdwd | 1.50 |
| Home | wwdd | 2.00 |
| Away | lldlww | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.50 | 0.50 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.08 | 1.21 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.27 | 1.74 |
Ukraine Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlwwwdll | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlwll | 1.50 |
| Away | lwwd | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.65 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 0.93 | 1.92 |
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Northern Ireland (67%)
3 Matches
Ukraine (33%)
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Past Results
Where to Watch Northern Ireland vs Ukraine
- BBCBBC iPlayer
- BBCBBC Sport Web
- BBCBBC Two
Listings can change before kick-off.





