Estadio Jose Alvalade will host Portugal and Wales in what should be an interesting Nations League opener. Portugal aim to bounce back from a 1-0 World Cup loss to Spain and kickstart their campaign in style. New boss Jorge Jesus has named his first squad with Cristiano Ronaldo in it, while Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, and Rafael Leao have also made the cut. Matheus Nunes and Nelson Semedo have been omitted. Portugal have been particularly convincing at home, winning five of their last seven matches and scoring 3.00 goals per game.
Wales, on the other hand, are on a four-game winless run after losing 2-1 to Romania in their latest warm-up. Joe Rodon and Dylan Lawlor miss out through injury, while Harry Wilson, Jordan James, and Wes Burns return to the squad. The Dragons have struggled to find consistency, although their expected goals figure of 1.81 away from home suggests they could pose some danger.
Given the huge gap in quality and form between the two sides, Home Win is the safest option for this Nations League matchup, alongside Ronaldo to Score and Over 2.5 goals (Portugal average 3.86 goals per game at home, while Wales' overall matches produce 2.90 goals).
This Nations League match will be played on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Portugal vs Wales prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Portugal 3 - 1 Wales
Portugal vs Wales Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cristiano Ronaldo @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cristiano Ronaldo @ 240 Odds
- To be Booked: Ethan Ampadu @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Wales +2.5 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: Wales +3 @ -150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Portugal to Win @ -2000 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Portugal to Win/Portugal to Win @ -200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Portugal - No @ -120 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Portugal vs Wales?
You can place your bets on Portugal vs Wales at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferPortugal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwdwdwl | 2.10 |
| Home | wwwdwwl | 2.29 |
| Away | dwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 71% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.86 | 0.67 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.00 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.86 | 0.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 71% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 14% | 100% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 14% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.90 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.04 | 1.45 |
Wales Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllwwdddl | 1.20 |
| Home | llwddd | 1.00 |
| Away | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.59 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.27 | 1.36 |
Portugal vs Wales Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Portugal (100%)
1 Matches
Wales (0%)
Portugal vs Wales Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Everton
Chelsea
Brentford
Liverpool
Bologna
Inter
Bayern Munich
Leipzig
Betis
Barcelona
Valencia
Athletic Bilbao
