What is our San Marino vs Finland prediction?
San Marino
0 - 3
Finland
Our prediction for this match: San Marino 0 - 3 Finland
San Marino vs Finland Preview
San Marino’s dreadful winless run shows little sign of ending, with their last victory coming back in November 2024. The minnows have since struggled badly against stronger opposition and suffered defeats to Bangladesh and Azerbaijan in their two most recent warm-up games. Filippo Terni and Simone Tamagnini could make their international debuts, but San Marino have won none of their last 10 matches and have conceded 3.70 goals per game during that run.
Finland, meanwhile, arrive after back-to-back defeats to Germany and Hungary, but they should see this as an opportunity to get their Nations League campaign off to a winning start. Joel Pohjanpalo is the man to watch after continuing to produce fine displays for Palermo, while the likes of Kaan Kairinen and Glen Kamara return to the squad. Finland have won just 14% of their last seven away matches, although San Marino’s defensive record could give them plenty of opportunities.
San Marino have conceded 2.80 goals per game in their last five home matches, while Finland have scored in four of their last seven away games. Finland to Win looks the obvious starting point, with Over 1.5 Goals also appealing, and Finland Over 1.5 Goals worth considering given San Marino’s 3.70 goals conceded per game overall.
This Nations League match will be played on Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 17:00.
- League
- Nations League
- Kick-off
- Sat 26 Sep 2026, 17:00UK time
San Marino vs Finland Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: San Marino 0-3 Finland | 9/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/33 | |
| Draw No Bet: Finland | 1/80 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Finland / Finland | 4/11 | |
| Asian Handicap: Finland -2.5 | 33/40 | |
| European Handicap: Finland -2 | 5/6 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo | 8/13 | |
| First Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo | 11/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Finland Clean Sheet: Yes | 1/3 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferSan Marino Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllllldll | 0.10 |
| Home | llldl | 0.20 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 3.70 | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 0.73 | 0.91 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
Finland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwllwwdll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlw | 2.00 |
| Away | lllwdll | 0.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.67 | 2.86 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.71 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.67 | 2.14 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.86 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 0.60 | 1.72 |
San Marino vs Finland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
San Marino (0%)
2 Matches
Finland (100%)
San Marino vs Finland Past Results
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