Ajax will try to maintain their impressive momentum when they face Excelsior after back-to-back 5-1 victories over Fortuna Sittard and Willem II. The Amsterdammers are likely to stick to their attacking style, having scored 3.30 goals per game across their last 10 matches. Julian Brandt has already started paying off since his summer arrival, while fellow signing Viktor Tsygankov is pushing for a start after scoring as a substitute against Willem II. Ajax have won 60% of their last 10 home matches, averaging 3.20 goals per game.
Excelsior, meanwhile, are aiming to bounce back from a 2-1 loss to Utrecht. The Rotterdammers have enjoyed an excellent recent run, winning 60% of their last 10 matches and scoring 2.50 goals per game. Their away record is even more impressive, with an 80% win rate and 3.00 goals scored per match. Janssen, Dominguez, and Sulzbacher are all pushing for starts after coming off the bench against Utrecht.
Ajax have won 70% of their last 10 matches and leading the H2H record. Therefore, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Ajax Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (72% of the previous 18 meetings produced at least three goals, while Ajax matches average 4.80 goals).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Ajax vs Excelsior prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ajax 3 - 1 Excelsior
Ajax vs Excelsior Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Marcos Leonardo @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Marcos Leonardo @ 260 Odds
- To be Booked: Giuliano Cairo @ 225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Ajax -1.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Ajax -1 @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1000 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Ajax to Win @ -1400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Ajax to Win/Ajax to Win @ -150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Ajax - No @ -188 Odds
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View OfferAjax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddwwwlww | 2.30 |
| Home | wdwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.80 | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 3.30 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.66 | 2.99 | 2.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.20 | 1.13 |
Excelsior Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwlwwdl | 2.00 |
| Home | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.34 | 1.40 |
Ajax vs Excelsior Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ajax (72%)
18 Matches
Excelsior (6%)
