All eyes will be on Kras Stadion when Ajax and Groningen meet in a one-off Conference League playoff semi-final on neutral ground. As Groningen suit Ajax, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 home win. The Amsterdammers head into the tie looking to bounce back from a disappointing goalless draw with Heerenveen, a result that highlighted their recent inconsistency. The nominal hosts have won just three of their last ten matches, though they remain dangerous in attack, averaging 1.7 goals per game. Defensively, they have been more stable away from home, conceding just 0.8 goals per match across their recent road fixtures. However, injuries to Wijndal, Zinchenko, and Jaros could limit their depth in key areas.
Groningen, meanwhile, arrive in better spirits after a hard-fought 2-1 win over Heracles. The visitors have been more consistent in recent weeks, winning five of their last ten matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game. Their attacking play has also been reliable, with both teams scoring in 70% of their recent fixtures. Midfielder David van der Werff is unavailable through injury, which could slightly reduce their midfield control in this crucial knockout clash.
Given Ajax's strong H2H dominance with 20 wins in 27 meetings, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (neutral venue and knockout format encourage open play).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Ajax vs Groningen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ajax 2 - 1 Groningen
Ajax vs Groningen Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -167 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kasper Dolberg @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kasper Dolberg @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Younes Taha @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Ajax -0.5 @ -112 Odds
- European Handicap: FC Groningen +2 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Ajax to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Ajax to Win/Ajax to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Ajax - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferAjax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwddlwwdld | 1.30 |
| Home | wdldl | 1.00 |
| Away | ldwwd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.73 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.34 | 1.71 |
Groningen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwwdllww | 1.70 |
| Home | wwdlw | 2.00 |
| Away | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.80 | 1.61 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.54 | 1.34 |
Ajax vs Groningen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ajax (74%)
27 Matches
Groningen (15%)
Ajax vs Groningen Past Results
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