All eyes will be on Johan Cruijff Arena when Ajax take on Nijmegen, with the hosts aiming to return to winning ways after dropping two points in a 2-2 draw with Excelsior. Ajax have been prolific at home in the new Eredivisie campaign, averaging 2.50 goals per game. Caio Henrique limped off with an injury against Excelsior, meaning Owen Wijndal is likely to step up, while Kasper Dolberg will continue leading the line for the Amsterdammers. Ajax have also scored 3.00 goals per game across their last five home fixtures.
Nijmegen, meanwhile, enjoyed a 2025/26 season to remember but have struggled in the new Eredivisie campaign. NEC have failed to win their previous four league games and continue to struggle at the back, conceding 2.30 goals per game across their last 10 matches. This game will be particularly special for Dusan Tadic, who spent the best years of his career at Johan Cruijff Arena. Kevin Kers is doubtful after picking up a knock in the 1-1 draw with Go Ahead Eagles.
Ajax’s fine form, home advantage and dominant H2H record make Ajax to Win the safest betting option for this Eredivisie matchup. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals bet seems tempting given the H2H record, while Ajax Over 1.5 goals looks attractive considering the hosts’ strong scoring numbers at home.
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Ajax vs Nijmegen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ajax 3 - 1 Nijmegen
Ajax vs Nijmegen Betting Tips
- European Handicap: Ajax -1 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
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View OfferAjax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwwwlwwd | 2.10 |
| Home | dwlwd | 1.60 |
| Away | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.80 | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 3.20 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.59 | 2.87 | 2.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.21 | 1.13 |
Nijmegen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwldlld | 1.10 |
| Home | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Away | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.84 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.32 | 1.52 |
Ajax vs Nijmegen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ajax (67%)
21 Matches
Nijmegen (5%)
Ajax vs Nijmegen Past Results
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