AFAS Stadion will host Sunday’s Eredivisie derby between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, with both sides entering the clash in similar form and holding identical win percentages this season. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on 2-2 draw. The Cheese Farmers come into the matchup with no fresh injury concerns, but fatigue could be a major factor after their intense KNVB Beker win over Twente in midweek. At home, AZ have been solid—averaging 1.83 points per game, scoring 1.83 goals, and keeping 50% clean sheets at the AFAS Stadion. Their expected goals numbers (1.81 at home) remain consistent and suggest they are creating enough to trouble any opponent.
Ajax, on the other hand, also report no new injury issues, and young forward Mika Godts—who scored twice in the 2-2 draw with Excelsior—will be the man to watch. The visitors have looked sharper away from home recently, taking 1.83 points per game on their travels while scoring 2.67 goals per away match. However, they remain defensively fragile on the road, conceding 2.50 goals per game, with 0% clean sheets away.
Given AZ’s home strength but Ajax’s higher attacking ceiling away, this derby feels poised for goals rather than a clear winner. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on Over 2.5 goals (62%). Additionally, BTTS and Over 3.5 goals markets seem appealing.
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Sunday 8 February 2026 at 13:30.
What is our AZ vs Ajax prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AZ 2 - 2 Ajax
AZ vs Ajax Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Mateo Chavez @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Ajax +0.5 @ -174 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -188 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on AZ vs Ajax?
You can place your bets on AZ vs Ajax at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAZ Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwdlw | 1.83 |
| Away | wllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.67 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.47 | 1.16 |
Ajax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwld | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | dwlwd | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.40 | 3.25 | 5.17 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.87 | 2.29 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.11 | 1.65 |
AZ vs Ajax Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AZ (41%)
37 Matches
Ajax (41%)
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