NAC Breda will fight to keep their survival hopes alive as they take on Ajax on Saturday, but face a tough challenge against a side chasing European qualification. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. The Yellow-Blacks have taken 1.00 point per game from their last 10 matches, scoring just 0.90 goals while conceding 1.90, highlighting their defensive fragility. At home, they improve slightly to 1.20 points per game, but still struggle for consistency. The absence of Lewis Holtby limits creativity in midfield.
Ajax, meanwhile, travel to Breda after a convincing 3-0 win over Heracles, aiming to keep their Champions League push on track. The Amsterdammers average 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded, with a high 70% BTTS rate across recent matches. While their away form is modest (1.20 points per game), they still carry far greater attacking threat than their opponents. The suspension of Takehiro Tomiyasu may slightly weaken their defence.
Given Ajax's superior quality and dominant H2H record, our main prediction leans toward Away Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score, and Over 2.5 goals (strong H2H trend and Breda’s weak defence).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Breda vs Ajax prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Breda 1 - 2 Ajax
Breda vs Ajax Betting Tips
- European Handicap: Ajax +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferBreda Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwldlldd | 1.00 |
| Home | dlwdd | 1.20 |
| Away | wllld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.39 | 1.28 |
Ajax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddlwddlw | 1.40 |
| Home | wdwdl | 1.60 |
| Away | ddldw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.71 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.45 |
Breda vs Ajax Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Breda (6%)
16 Matches
Ajax (75%)
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