What is our Excelsior vs Heerenveen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Excelsior 1 - 2 Heerenveen
Excelsior vs Heerenveen Preview
Excelsior Rotterdam return home aiming to bounce back from a 1-0 defeat to Go Ahead Eagles, but their form remains unconvincing with just one win in their last five league games. Therefore, we predict a 2-1 win for Heerenveen, who proved their worth against Sparta Rotterdam. The Rotterdammers usually compete well at home, averaging 1.51 expected goals and scoring in 80% of recent home matches. Defensive issues persist, however, with the team conceding 1.60 goals per game overall and keeping 0 clean sheets in their last four at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.
Heerenveen continue their mixed campaign but arrive in better shape after a 2-1 win over Sparta Rotterdam. Even without Levi Smans, they create plenty—averaging 1.62 xG and scoring 1.70 goals per match. The concern remains their leaky defence: Heerenveen concede 2.20 goals on average, including 3.25 per away game, and have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last five.
Considering Heerenveen's better recent form and more attacking threat, our prediction leans toward Away Win, alongside Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals as Heerenveen away matches average 4.50 goals; Excelsior home games 3.00.
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday, 7 March 2026 at 20:00.
- Competition
- Netherlands Eredivisie
- Kick-off
- Sat 7 Mar, 20:00UK time
Excelsior vs Heerenveen Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreExcelsior 1-2 Heerenveen | 850 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -250 | |
| Draw No BetHeerenveen | -138 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeHeerenveen / Heerenveen | 275 | |
| Asian HandicapHeerenveen 0 | -138 | |
| European HandicapHeerenveen +1 | -250 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -175 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -500 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -150 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Clean SheetHeerenveen: No | -400 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerDylan Vente | 140 | |
| First GoalscorerDylan Vente | 500 | |
| To be BookedIngmar Mulder | 162 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 160 |
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View OfferExcelsior Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlddddwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | wddll | 1.00 |
| Away | lddwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.51 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.25 | 1.73 |
Heerenveen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldllwwlw | 1.40 |
| Home | dwldww | 1.83 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.50 | 3.25 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.85 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.32 | 2.51 |
Excelsior vs Heerenveen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Excelsior (26%)
19 Matches
Heerenveen (58%)





