Groningen host Excelsior in a clash where both sides still have plenty at stake in the closing stages of the Eredivisie season. As Excelsior continue to struggle on the travels, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. The Green and White Army are looking to bounce back from a 3-1 defeat to Feyenoord and push toward a Conference League playoff spot. They’ve averaged 1.10 points per game over their last 10 matches, scoring 1.50 goals per game while conceding 1.40, with BTTS landing in 70% of those fixtures.
Excelsior, meanwhile, are full of confidence after a stunning 5-0 win over Utrecht, a result that boosted their survival hopes. Despite a modest 0.80 points per game across their last 10, they remain dangerous going forward with 1.40 goals scored per match, and winger Sanches Fernandes—who netted twice last time out—looks a key threat again. However, defensive consistency remains an issue, with 1.40 goals conceded on average.
Given Groningen's better H2H record and home advantage, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (both teams average open, end-to-end games).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Groningen vs Excelsior prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Groningen 2 - 1 Excelsior
Groningen vs Excelsior Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Brynjolfur Willumsson @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Brynjolfur Willumsson @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Younes Taha @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: FC Groningen -0.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Excelsior +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: FC Groningen to Win @ -334 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: FC Groningen to Win/FC Groningen to Win @ 162 Odds
- Clean Sheet: FC Groningen - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferGroningen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwdwwdl | 1.10 |
| Home | llwwd | 1.40 |
| Away | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.60 | 1.32 |
Excelsior Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllllldldw | 0.80 |
| Home | llllw | 0.60 |
| Away | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.76 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.28 | 1.68 |
Groningen vs Excelsior Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Groningen (61%)
18 Matches
Excelsior (22%)
Groningen vs Excelsior Past Results
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