Groningen face the champions-elect without two key defenders: Janse and Peersman are both suspended following their 2-0 loss at Sparta Rotterdam. Therefore, we predict an easy 3-1 away win. Those absences weaken what is normally a solid Groningen defensive unit—one that already concedes more at home (1.00 per game) than the team would like. The Green and White Army's form has dipped, with back-to-back defeats and just 1.20 points per game overall, while their attack remains inconsistent: they've failed to score in 40% of their matches and create an xG of 2.01, which suggests the finishing simply hasn’t matched the chance creation.
PSV, meanwhile, travel north with only one notable concern: Ismael Saibari is likely to miss out through injury. However, as usual, the Eindhoven giants have the squad depth to compensate. Their form remains strong—2.20 points per game, 70% win rate, and a monstrous 2.60 goals scored per match overall. Even away from home, the reigning champions average 2.25 points per game and score 2.00 goals per match, though they do allow their opponents chances (0% clean sheets away, 1.50 conceded). Still, the gap in quality and squad availability is significant.
The H2H tells the story clearly: PSV dominant with 18 wins in 27 meetings. Given aforementioned suspensions for the hosts, Away Win is our main betting tip, alongside Over 2.5 goals (67% H2H) and PSV Over 1.5.
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Sunday 8 February 2026 at 15:45.
What is our Groningen vs PSV prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Groningen 1 - 3 PSV
Groningen vs PSV Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ismael Saibari @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ismael Saibari @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Younes Taha @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: PSV -0.5 @ -174 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: PSV to Win @ -400 Odds
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View OfferGroningen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwll | 1.20 |
| Home | dwdl | 1.25 |
| Away | lwdwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 2.01 | 2.72 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 0.87 | 1.42 |
PSV Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wwdlw | 2.17 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.33 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.21 | 1.42 |
Groningen vs PSV Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Groningen (15%)
27 Matches
PSV (67%)
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