Heerenveen will look to recover from a 2-0 defeat to NAC Breda when they take on Ajax on the last day of the regular season. However, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win as Ajax are eager to secure a top-four finish. Heerenveen's form remains strong overall with 1.90 points per game and a perfect home record in recent sample (4 straight wins). De Superfriezen average 1.80 goals scored per game and concede 1.40, with BTTS landing in 60% of matches. At home, they are particularly dangerous, scoring 2.75 per game and allowing just 0.75. No new injury concerns gives them a stable XI.
Ajax, meanwhile, travel needing a win to overtake NEC into fourth place. The Amsterdammers suffered a 2-1 loss to Utrecht at the weekend, but still average 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their away form is steadier (1.60 PPG), with 40% win rate and 60% clean sheets on the road. Wout Weghorst offers a strong bench impact option after scoring as a substitute against Utrecht, while Zinchenko and Wijndal remain out.
Ajax have stronger H2H dominance (25 wins in 31) and given their higher motivation, Away Win seems like a value bet. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets are worth considering (77% H2H Over 2.5).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30.
What is our Heerenveen vs Ajax prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Heerenveen 1 - 2 Ajax
Heerenveen vs Ajax Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mika Godts @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mika Godts @ 550 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Ajax 0 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Ajax +1 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Ajax to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Ajax to Win/Ajax to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Ajax - No @ -500 Odds
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View OfferHeerenveen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwdwlwwl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwdlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.95 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.99 | 1.54 | 2.29 |
Ajax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwddlwwdl | 1.30 |
| Home | wdldl | 1.00 |
| Away | dldww | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.73 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.34 | 1.54 |
Heerenveen vs Ajax Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Heerenveen (3%)
31 Matches
Ajax (81%)
Heerenveen vs Ajax Past Results
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