What is our Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction?
Heerenveen
3 - 1
Excelsior
Our prediction for this match: Heerenveen 3 - 1 Excelsior
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Preview
Heerenveen will be keen to turn an encouraging performance against PSV into a much-needed result as they face Excelsior on Friday evening. Despite losing 2-0, the hosts missed several clear-cut chances and showed they can trouble stronger opposition. Dirk Proper remains sidelined, but there are no fresh injury concerns for the home side. Their main concern is a lack of goals at home, where Heerenveen have managed just 0.60 goals per game across their recent fixtures.
Excelsior, meanwhile, arrive after a humiliating 5-1 defeat to Groningen, extending their winless run to four matches. The Rotterdammers have been far more productive away from home than their recent overall form suggests, but defensive lapses remain a major problem. Noah Naujoks is their only absentee, meaning the visitors should have enough options to threaten going forward, even if they must improve significantly at the back to avoid another disappointing result.
Heerenveen’s performance against PSV offers hope and given Excelsior's shaky defence, our main prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside Heerenveen Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (68% H2H).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00.
- League
- Netherlands Eredivisie
- Kick-off
- Fri 16 Oct 2026, 19:00UK time
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Heerenveen 3-1 Excelsior | 10/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/5 | |
| Draw No Bet: Heerenveen | 2/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Heerenveen / Heerenveen | 13/10 | |
| Asian Handicap: Heerenveen -0.5 | 11/20 | |
| European Handicap: Excelsior +3 | 2/9 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Dylan Vente | 11/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Dylan Vente | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Mees Hilgers | 3/1 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Heerenveen Clean Sheet: No | 1/3 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferHeerenveen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdldldwl | 1.00 |
| Home | dwlld | 1.00 |
| Away | lddwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.87 | 1.71 |
Excelsior Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlwwdldl | 1.50 |
| Home | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Away | wwwdd | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.24 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.47 | 1.78 |
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Heerenveen (58%)
19 Matches
Excelsior (26%)
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Past Results
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