Heracles are stuck at the bottom with just 19 points and slim survival chances, while Ajax aim to keep their Champions League hopes alive after a 2-1 loss to Twente. Given Heracles' shaky defence, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. The Black and Whites will be without banned defender Mimeirhel Benita following a heavy 4-1 defeat to Heerenveen. The hosts are in poor form (LWLLLLDLDL), picking up only 0.50 points per game and conceding 2.60 goals on average, while scoring just 0.80. Their defensive issues are even worse away, but even at home they struggle to keep clean sheets.
Ajax have also been inconsistent, but remain the stronger side statistically, averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per match. Midfielder Rayane Bounida returns from suspension, boosting their options. The fact that there are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team goes in favour of our betting angle. Historically, Ajax dominate this fixture with 19 wins in 27 meetings, while 81% of clashes have produced over 1.5 goals.
Given Ajax's H2H dominance (70%), we are tempted to bet on Away Win, alongside BTTS (Ajax 80% recent matches), and Over 2.5 goals (54% H2H).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Heracles vs Ajax prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Heracles 1 - 2 Ajax
Heracles vs Ajax Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -211 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Wout Weghorst @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Wout Weghorst @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Thomas Bruns @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Ajax -0.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Heracles +2 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -500 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Ajax to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Ajax to Win/Ajax to Win @ 130 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Ajax - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Heracles vs Ajax?
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View OfferHeracles Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlllldldl | 0.50 |
| Home | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.60 | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.35 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.89 | 1.77 | 2.02 |
Ajax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwddlwddl | 1.20 |
| Home | wdwdl | 1.60 |
| Away | dddld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.71 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.43 |
Heracles vs Ajax Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Heracles (11%)
27 Matches
Ajax (70%)
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