There will be fireworks when Sparta Rotterdam host Excelsior in a lively Rotterdam derby to close the Eredivisie season, with both sides approaching the game from very different angles. As Brian Priske's men want this win more than Excelsior, we predict a 3-1 home win. Sparta still have something to fight for as they chase a Conference League playoff spot, but their recent form is poor, with just 0.60 points per game across their last 10 matches and only 0.80 goals scored per game. A damaging 4-0 defeat to Twente underlined their defensive issues, and they are further weakened by the suspension of Bruno Martins Indi.
Excelsior head into the local derby with little pressure after securing survival, though they also come in mixed form with 0.90 points per game and just 20% win rate in their last 10. The visitors do carry a stronger attacking edge than Sparta in terms of output consistency, scoring 1.50 goals per game and registering BTTS in 70% of matches, including 100% in away fixtures. However, they remain defensively vulnerable, conceding 1.50 per game.
Sparta's motivation is higher with playoff hopes still alive, despite poor form. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip for Sunday's Rotterdam derby, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (shaky defence and derby intensity often open games up).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30.
What is our Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1400 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Tobias Lauritsen @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Tobias Lauritsen @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sparta Rotterdam 0 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Sparta Rotterdam +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sparta Rotterdam to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sparta Rotterdam to Win/Sparta Rotterdam to Win @ 220 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sparta Rotterdam - No @ -350 Odds
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View OfferSparta Rotterdam Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldlwdlldl | 0.60 |
| Home | dwld | 1.25 |
| Away | llldll | 0.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.50 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.25 | 2.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.84 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.75 | 1.59 | 1.86 |
Excelsior Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllldldwwd | 0.90 |
| Home | lllwd | 0.80 |
| Away | llddw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.09 | 1.60 |
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sparta Rotterdam (31%)
13 Matches
Excelsior (46%)
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Past Results
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