What is our Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 3 PSV
Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Preview
Het Kasteel will host Saturday's Eredivisie clash as Sparta Rotterdam aim to bounce back following a 0-0 draw with NAC Breda. However, we predict a 3-2 away win as PSV want to put icing on the cake on yet another successful season. The Rotterdammers have been mixed this season, winning 30% of their last ten matches and averaging 2.4 goals per game while conceding 1.3. Defender Lushendry Martes is suspended, which may weaken their backline. Home form has been solid, with 50% of home matches resulting in wins and clean sheets in half of those games.
PSV travel to Rotterdam following a thrilling 4-3 victory over Utrecht, having already secured the Eredivisie title. The title holders have been dominant, winning 60% of their last ten matches and scoring an impressive 4.3 goals per game overall. Their attack is relentless, with both home and away games seeing goals scored consistently, while clean sheets have been rare. Midfielder Jerdy Schouten is doubtful after a minor knock.
Historically, PSV have dominated this fixture, winning 16 of the last 19 encounters. Given their superior form and head-to-head dominance, Away Win is our main betting tip for this matchup, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (both sides prone to high-scoring matches).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday, 11 April 2026 at 17:45.
- Competition
- Netherlands Eredivisie
- Kick-off
- Sat 11 Apr, 17:45UK time
Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreSparta Rotterdam 2-3 PSV | 1400 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -350 | |
| Draw No BetPSV | -250 | |
| Half Time/Full TimePSV / PSV | 175 | |
| Asian HandicapPSV -0.5 | -130 | |
| European HandicapSparta Rotterdam +2 | -600 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -275 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -1200 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -300 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | -125 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsOver 4.5 Goals | 175 | |
| Clean SheetPSV: No | -450 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerRicardo Pepi | -105 | |
| First GoalscorerRicardo Pepi | 450 | |
| To be BookedLushendry Martes | 225 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferSparta Rotterdam Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddlldlwd | 1.30 |
| Home | wddw | 2.00 |
| Away | wdllld | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.69 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.32 | 1.68 |
PSV Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwlwllw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.30 | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.14 | 2.20 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.35 | 1.59 |
Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sparta Rotterdam (5%)
19 Matches
PSV (84%)





