What is our Valerenga vs Aalesund prediction?
Valerenga
3 - 1
Aalesund
Our prediction for this match: Valerenga 3 - 1 Aalesund
Valerenga vs Aalesund Preview
Valerenga will be desperate to return to winning ways when they welcome Aalesund to Intility Arena in Round 14 of the Eliteserien. As Aalesund continue to struggle defensively, we predict a 3-1 home win. The capital club suffered a humiliating 4-0 defeat to Tromso last time out and have now collected just 0.8 points per game from their last ten matches in all competitions. Injury problems are not helping their cause either, with Omar Bully sidelined, while Holm, Sjoeng, and Thorsvalden remain doubtful. Despite their poor overall form, Valerenga have looked more competitive at home, winning two of their last five league matches in Oslo and averaging 1.6 goals per game. With their fans expecting an immediate response, the hosts should approach this clash in an attack-minded fashion.
Aalesund, meanwhile, head into Friday's encounter after a thrilling 2-2 draw with Molde. The visitors have no fresh injury concerns and will be encouraged by the fact that they have found the net in eight of their last ten matches. However, defensive issues continue to haunt them, as they are yet to keep a clean sheet in their last ten outings while conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game. Their away form has also been disappointing, earning only 0.8 points per game across their last five road fixtures. Historically, this fixture tends to produce goals, with 18 of the previous 24 meetings featuring over 1.5 goals. Given both sides' defensive struggles, an entertaining contest is expected.
Home advantage should help the hosts bounce back from last week's heavy defeat. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Valerenga Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 total (both teams average 3.1 total goals per game over their last ten outings).
This Norway Eliteserien match will be played on Thursday, 16 July 2026 at 18:00.
- League
- Norway Eliteserien
- Kick-off
- Thu 16 Jul 2026, 18:00UK time
Valerenga vs Aalesund Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Valerenga 3-1 Aalesund | 11/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Valerenga | 3/10 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Valerenga / Valerenga | 8/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Valerenga -0.5 | 27/40 | |
| European Handicap: Valerenga +1 | 1/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Ole Saeter | 6/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Ole Saeter | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: David Snaer Johannsson | 21/10 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Valerenga Clean Sheet: No | 3/10 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 7/4 | |
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View OfferValerenga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlldlwlwl | 0.80 |
| Home | lldww | 1.40 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 1.81 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.64 | 1.79 | 1.48 |
Aalesund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldlwwddd | 1.10 |
| Home | ddwdd | 1.40 |
| Away | lllwd | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.82 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.89 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Valerenga vs Aalesund Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Valerenga (46%)
24 Matches
Aalesund (33%)
Valerenga vs Aalesund Past Results
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