Alverca return home aiming to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 defeat to Nacional, but their recent form suggests another tight contest is likely. As both Alverca and Arouca should be happy with one point from Friday's game, we predict a 1-1 draw. Custodio Castro's men have drawn five of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.10 points per game, with a strong trend toward both teams scoring (80%). Midfielder Davy Gui is pushing for a start, which could add energy in the middle, but defensively they remain vulnerable, conceding 1.40 goals per game and keeping just one clean sheet in that run.
Arouca sit level on points with their opponents and may approach this cautiously, especially given their poor away form (0.60 points per game). They score just 0.80 goals per match on the road and fail to score in 40% of those fixtures. The suspension of defender Javier Sanchez is another concern, potentially weakening an already inconsistent back line.
As both teams are level on points, Alverca draw frequently (5 in last 10), and neither side shows enough consistency to dominate, we are tempted to place our bets on Draw, alongside Half-Time Draw and BTTS (Alverca’s 80% BTTS rate and shaky defenses on both sides point toward goals at both ends).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 24 April 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Alverca vs Arouca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alverca 1 - 1 Arouca
Alverca vs Arouca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -112 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nabil Touaizi @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Nabil Touaizi @ 600 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Alverca +0.5 @ -308 Odds
- European Handicap: FC Arouca +1 @ -150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -150 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Alverca - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferAlverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldddddlwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | ddlw | 1.25 |
| Away | ldddwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.75 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.56 | 1.91 |
Arouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlllwwlw | 1.50 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.24 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.64 | 1.29 |
Alverca vs Arouca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alverca (0%)
1 Matches
Arouca (100%)
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